MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbcb90e5369fc34a0cbd125a24ca2589c96d9e2563b3f57d8ed4f6032899258c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 67c | 1,898$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.58 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 1,583$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.29 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 817.97$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.96 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 70c | 648.14$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Detroit Tigers | 19c | 453$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.77 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Detroit Tigers | 24c | 449.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.45 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 401.82$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.87 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 23c | 389$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.34 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 357.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.3 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox | 72c | 306.14$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.38 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Detroit Tigers | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…e934backed Chicago White Sox | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 184.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 178.85$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 162$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 126.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chicago White Sox | 22c | 105.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Detroit Tigers | 33c | 85.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 75.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago White Sox | 23c | 72.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…ceafbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 66.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 54.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Chicago White Sox | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 47.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Detroit Tigers | 28c | 47.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Detroit Tigers | 26c | 44.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 35.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago White Sox | 70c | 34.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 33.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 28.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Detroit Tigers | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.