Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Pedro Martinez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd12eaf0a5cd5d8d3b27b465559b44832538c0521f7f80c857e273f9f64294b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Otto Virtanenof Otto Virtanen, Pedro Martinez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Pedro Martinez | 31c | 21,955$6,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,790.53 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Otto Virtanen | 72c | 17,449$12,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,935.63 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Otto Virtanen | 70c | 7,600$5,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.87 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Otto Virtanen | 72c | 5,968$4,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.69 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…2e11backed Pedro Martinez | 32c | 3,918$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Pedro Martinez | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Pedro Martinez | 5c | 2,982$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Pedro Martinez | 21c | 2,877$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Pedro Martinez | 17c | 1,748$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Pedro Martinez | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Otto Virtanen | 78c | 1,074$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.26 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Pedro Martinez | 33c | 1,023$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.51 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed Pedro Martinez | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Pedro Martinez | 12c | 844.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Pedro Martinez | 22c | 730.66$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pedro Martinez | 19c | 729.64$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.45 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Pedro Martinez | 15c | 674.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Pedro Martinez | 16c | 589.66$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Pedro Martinez | 23c | 567.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Pedro Martinez | 20c | 501.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…cfe5backed Pedro Martinez | 25c | 447.28$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…4a83backed Pedro Martinez | 23c | 441.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 23.4%29 W · 95 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Pedro Martinez | 14c | 434.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Pedro Martinez | 9c | 389.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Otto Virtanen | 72c | 389.27$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pedro Martinez | 12c | 332.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…efc3backed Pedro Martinez | 30c | 330.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Pedro Martinez | 6c | 329.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Pedro Martinez | 15c | 313.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Pedro Martinez | 20c | 305.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Pedro Martinez | 21c | 293$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Otto Virtanen | 70c | 283.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Pedro Martinez | 22c | 273.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…bacdbacked Pedro Martinez | 17c | 255.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Pedro Martinez | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 458 | 50.7%232 W · 226 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Pedro Martinez | 19c | 240.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Pedro Martinez | 24c | 235.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pedro Martinez | 9c | 228.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Pedro Martinez | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 29.6%45 W · 107 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Pedro Martinez | 31c | 200.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Pedro Martinez | 30c | 188$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 252 | 40.5%102 W · 150 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Pedro Martinez | 25c | 173.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Pedro Martinez | 12c | 171.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Pedro Martinez | 15c | 166$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Pedro Martinez | 19c | 154$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Pedro Martinez | 22c | 150.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Pedro Martinez | 16c | 147.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Pedro Martinez | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pedro Martinez | 15c | 124.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Pedro Martinez | 20c | 116.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Pedro Martinez | 21c | 115.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Pedro Martinez | 18c | 112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Pedro Martinez | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Pedro Martinez | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Pedro Martinez | 31c | 80.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Pedro Martinez | 18c | 74.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Pedro Martinez | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Otto Virtanen | 76c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 371 | 56.3%209 W · 162 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Pedro Martinez | 20c | 63.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Pedro Martinez | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Pedro Martinez | 25c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Pedro Martinez | 30c | 60.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadde…ec24backed Pedro Martinez | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Otto Virtanen | 79c | 56.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…5906backed Pedro Martinez | 32c | 50.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307c…d140backed Pedro Martinez | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…d9f1backed Pedro Martinez | 36c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 167 | 26.3%44 W · 123 L | -18.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Otto Virtanen | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Otto Virtanen | 79c | 37.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Otto Virtanen | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Otto Virtanen | 80c | 29.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…6d56backed Otto Virtanen | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Otto Virtanen | 80c | 27.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Otto Virtanen | 71c | 27.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Otto Virtanen | 72c | 22.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Otto Virtanen | 80c | 20.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Otto Virtanen | 80c | 16.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…be40backed Otto Virtanen | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Pedro Martinezthis page
- Set Handicap: Virtanen (-1.5) vs Martinez (+1.5)Martinez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.