Tennis · resolved market
Targu Mures: Niels McDonald vs Francesco Passaro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0e57cf8579b6fd2ac12f1c165305f3af8b7bf4e4992f29af2e018bc9b90066a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Niels McDonaldof Niels McDonald, Francesco Passaro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Francesco Passaro | 50c | 35,378$17,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,797.51 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Niels McDonald | 44c | 33,914$15,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,827.26 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Niels McDonald | 78c | 14,210$11,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.89 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…bf0ebacked Francesco Passaro | 37c | 11,230$4,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,181.34 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Francesco Passaro | 60c | 8,335$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Francesco Passaro | 46c | 7,818$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.4 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Niels McDonald | 51c | 5,887$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.63 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Niels McDonald | 45c | 5,191$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.65 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d56…2cc5backed Niels McDonald | 42c | 3,500$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Niels McDonald | 79c | 3,280$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.45 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Niels McDonald | 36c | 3,018$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.57 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Francesco Passaro | 68c | 2,950$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Niels McDonald | 36c | 2,413$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.03 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Francesco Passaro | 75c | 2,142$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…2e11backed Francesco Passaro | 62c | 2,016$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Francesco Passaro | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…f868backed Francesco Passaro | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.99 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Niels McDonald | 76c | 1,246$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.88 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Francesco Passaro | 28c | 1,236$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.59 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Niels McDonald | 44c | 1,138$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.66 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Niels McDonald | 28c | 1,000$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.49 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Niels McDonald | 34c | 1,000$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.46 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Niels McDonald | 34c | 873.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.73 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Francesco Passaro | 64c | 765.7$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.05 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Niels McDonald | 75c | 720.79$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.59 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Francesco Passaro | 67c | 702.17$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.51 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Niels McDonald | 34c | 638.68$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.53 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Niels McDonald | 33c | 599.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.96 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Niels McDonald | 47c | 576.51$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.7 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Niels McDonald | 78c | 575.16$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.38 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Niels McDonald | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc30…ad13backed Niels McDonald | 33c | 543.42$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Francesco Passaro | 64c | 517.83$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.41 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Niels McDonald | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Francesco Passaro | 73c | 476.22$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.04 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Niels McDonald | 25c | 457.28$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.99 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Niels McDonald | 33c | 452$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.63 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Francesco Passaro | 68c | 430.59$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Niels McDonald | 34c | 422.43$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.9 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Niels McDonald | 41c | 410.76$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.36 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Francesco Passaro | 70c | 397.78$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.88 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Niels McDonald | 38c | 395.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.27 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…95c3backed Niels McDonald | 29c | 388$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Niels McDonald | 34c | 378.85$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.04 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Francesco Passaro | 66c | 373.63$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.47 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Francesco Passaro | 70c | 370.26$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.18 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Francesco Passaro | 52c | 369$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.71 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Francesco Passaro | 20c | 331.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Francesco Passaro | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…6b3dbacked Francesco Passaro | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Niels McDonald | 33c | 307.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.98 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Niels McDonald | 33c | 300.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.67 | 154 | 40.9%63 W · 91 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Niels McDonald | 29c | 299.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.99 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Niels McDonald | 33c | 297.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Niels McDonald | 18c | 279.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.94 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Niels McDonald | 34c | 276.47$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.47 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Francesco Passaro | 75c | 275.07$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.04 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Niels McDonald | 45c | 270.4$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.04 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Niels McDonald | 38c | 270$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Niels McDonald | 39c | 266.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.73 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Niels McDonald | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…13f4backed Niels McDonald | 36c | 258.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Francesco Passaro | 18c | 247.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Francesco Passaro | 70c | 242.45$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Niels McDonald | 55c | 239.27$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Niels McDonald | 44c | 208.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.32 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Niels McDonald | 39c | 207.82$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Niels McDonald | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Niels McDonald | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Niels McDonald | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Niels McDonald | 31c | 177.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Francesco Passaro | 52c | 173$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Niels McDonald | 37c | 171.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed Francesco Passaro | 65c | 162.62$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Niels McDonald | 37c | 161.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.27 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Francesco Passaro | 70c | 158.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Niels McDonald | 38c | 154.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.09 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Niels McDonald | 44c | 154$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Francesco Passaro | 66c | 151.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…b378backed Niels McDonald | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Francesco Passaro | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Niels McDonald | 34c | 144.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Niels McDonald | 34c | 141.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francesco Passaro | 60c | 141.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Niels McDonald | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Francesco Passaro | 65c | 139.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.46 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Francesco Passaro | 58c | 139$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Niels McDonald | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Francesco Passaro | 60c | 129.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…fa51backed Francesco Passaro | 61c | 129.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Niels McDonald | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Niels McDonald | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Niels McDonald | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Niels McDonald | 32c | 117.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Niels McDonald | 24c | 117$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092a…8577backed Niels McDonald | 34c | 114.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Francesco Passaro | 28c | 113$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Francesco Passaro | 54c | 109.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 523 | 41.5%217 W · 306 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Francesco Passaro | 78c | 108.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Francesco Passaro | 65c | 105$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Targu Mures: Niels McDonald vs Francesco Passarothis page
- Set Handicap: Passaro (-1.5) vs McDonald (+1.5)McDonald won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.