MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67c4fbb88c02abe7962f39ca31b15bbda3cd71ed3765d2831dd5dbf00a49340f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $309,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 69,322$35,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,613.36 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 34,781$17,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,617.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 28,341$13,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,490.8 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 19,843$9,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,042.04 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 14,402$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,624.85 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 12,815$5,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,895.07 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 10,470$5,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,212.66 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 10,440$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,320.16 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 10,121$5,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,137.52 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 10,000$5,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,287.58 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 8,725$4,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,282.53 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 6,700$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 6,269$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.06 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 6,191$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 5,063$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.24 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 4,404$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.2 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 4,392$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 70c | 4,332$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.69 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 3,547$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.76 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 2,944$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.49 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 2,806$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.74 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,624$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.2 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 2,609$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.52 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 2,488$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.1 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 2,284$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.78 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 2,112$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.78 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 2,107$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.84 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 2,042$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.22 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,956$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.96 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 1,936$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.96 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,660$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.52 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,630$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.9 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,584$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.52 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,584$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.31 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 66c | 1,567$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.48 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 1,334$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.2 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 1,299$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.99 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,189$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.63 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Texas Rangers | 29c | 1,103$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.45 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,075$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Texas Rangers | 67c | 1,046$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.34 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 1,013$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Texas Rangers | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 841.83$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.76 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 840$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 830.19$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.19 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 798.57$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.27 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 702.67$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.36 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 699.92$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.96 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 694$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df3…dc6fbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 679.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.6 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 638.43$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.72 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 572.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 560$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 558.42$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.93 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 507.4$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.4 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Texas Rangers | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 493.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 470.59$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.59 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…04f6backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 468.36$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 464.18$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.37 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72f…58cfbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 439.94$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 439.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 424.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.09 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 424.48$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 399.95$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 390.74$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.16 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 380.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 380$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.4 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 370.47$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.12 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 360.97$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.51 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 355.73$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 344.83$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.14 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 342.9$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.07 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 325$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.15 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Texas Rangers | 69c | 321.74$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 315$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 299.37$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Cleveland Guardians | 6c | 294.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 259.07$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 258.2$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.85 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…9c28backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 250.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.73 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 239.8$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.