MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70a95f86ff0198c0f77792c228d1b8a45bad497107a4dbdfb9ffbe3c9c640755
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 110,000$57,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,199.93 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 48c | 54,390$26,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,282.7 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 52,552$25,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,061.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 53c | 24,099$12,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,772.47 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 50c | 20,581$10,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,370.57 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 13,889$6,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,248.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 47c | 4,848$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.32 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 4,131$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.71 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 3,321$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.35 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 2,411$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.92 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 54c | 1,897$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.55 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 1,529$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.15 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 1,054$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.53 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.22 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 999.87$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.93 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 948.92$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 48c | 848.54$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.24 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 749.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 44c | 544.8$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.14 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Under | 47c | 454$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.62 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 6c | 433.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 415$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.69 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 48c | 353.38$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.76 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 16c | 299.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 52c | 270.44$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Over | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…594bbacked Over | 52c | 212.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 63c | 194.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 48c | 192.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 48c | 176.37$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 51c | 171.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 55c | 157.92$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Under | 68c | 146.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 52c | 146$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 63c | 137.52$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 48c | 121.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 61c | 110.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 38c | 104.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 50c | 100.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 39c | 100.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 58c | 95.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 48c | 93.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 48c | 87.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 48c | 83.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 48c | 82.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 46c | 80.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 51c | 77.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 46c | 75.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 48c | 71.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…3b32backed Under | 53c | 70.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 52c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 48c | 64.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Over | 41c | 60.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -31.9wins | -0.31per pick | 40cpaid | -82%equal weight | 22-0.25 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 48c | 52.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 52c | 50.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532c…54e3backed Over | 53c | 48.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Over | 53c | 46.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…f5f3backed Over | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 48c | 41.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 53c | 41.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 40.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 48c | 38.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…a5d7backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6184…0c7fbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Over | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 50c | 34.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under | 48c | 33.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Over | 63c | 29.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 48c | 27.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 53c | 26.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Under | 48c | 24.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 24.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 50c | 24.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over | 65c | 24.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 64c | 23.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 46c | 23.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland GuardiansTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.