TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$716,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$725,327

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $716,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f12…8140backed Over22c40,427$8,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,8944025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over21c35,717$7,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,500.5114553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over3c34,308$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.249441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over7c24,953$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.773,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over22c22,506$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over21c18,443$3,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,952.532,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over9c14,584$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over15c13,563$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.972,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf245…e750backed Under79c9,084$7,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.711070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+78.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under79c7,923$6,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.191,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5978…a870backed Over0c7,807$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.72240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over9c7,525$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.531,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under79c6,948$5,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.2151032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over22c6,400$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40821333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over16c6,136$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.711,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Under79c5,063$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.2911641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5c…2c1dbacked Over22c3,584$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.4370%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over3c3,433$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under78c3,333$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.2631851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over21c3,304$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.232,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over4c3,251$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.55626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1228…a86ebacked Over4c3,180$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.92524%6 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Over1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010014%14 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+445.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Over1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Under78c2,940$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.8112647.6%60 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under78c2,830$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.5136031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b9e…f116backed Under79c2,731$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.483265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over13c2,593$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.531,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc93…718bbacked Over1c2,539$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.39458.9%4 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+214.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.6519062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over9c2,407$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.712,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Over1c2,400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249910.1%10 W · 89 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+194.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a6d…33e2backed Over1c2,400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333%1 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Over22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+96.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over22c2,247$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.287560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a06…d694backed Over22c2,209$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-51.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over6c2,042$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3339644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aea…10c9backed Over22c1,818$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004214.3%6 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over22c1,774$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.2622813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Under79c1,582$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.284065%26 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Over22c1,582$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34819250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under79c1,544$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.242,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Over21c1,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Under78c1,366$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.527520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Under78c1,266$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.612341.5%51 W · 72 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90a6…e64bbacked Under79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.821861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Under79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8210356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over5c1,207$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4634964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed Over2c1,200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201612.5%2 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6999…ae54backed Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024540.8%100 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b9…a8e7backed Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over21c999.96$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9917625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under78c999.9$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.921,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over7c980.03$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0758942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under78c964.61$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.273,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over21c952.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9972722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Over20c922.22$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.4412536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Under79c905$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.0534751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over9c839.7$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.381,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over4c815.02$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.62,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Over12c812.54$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1428535.8%102 W · 183 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over8c772.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.22,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bba…2c84backed Under79c759.49$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.491662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21df…af60backed Under79c759.49$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.492657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over2c748.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.971,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x15e9…939ebacked Over9c747.4$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick27cpaid+69.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over10c727.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under79c700.86$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.981,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b20…de61backed Over22c655.8$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.284158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Under78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0314568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under78c633.97$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.883,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd602…d370backed Under79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.911573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Under79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.917142.3%30 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Under79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9112159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under79c603.8$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.822355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over21c598.43$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6710518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce6a…77b8backed Under79c567.65$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.212181%17 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over4c559$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3718628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32bd…cc35backed Over6c519.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.181010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-85.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9d…4073backed Under79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.331968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de8…acc9backed Under79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.334776.6%36 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7630…cfb0backed Over21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1708…0619backed Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005534.5%19 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Under79c475.95$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.959341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over6c473$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4324947.4%118 W · 131 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over16c468.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4447…e040backed Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d8…2c34backed Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012930.2%39 W · 90 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over21c452.66$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f04…7fb9backed Under79c443.62$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.161968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6469…b890backed Under80c437.69$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.695766.7%38 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad5…b130backed Over22c428$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.161323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Under79c415$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1527744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked Over5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206227.4%17 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8467354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.