Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdced03c8565fd3a01277d9af038d21ef498dd4d65e0c9e62d6ed6515264e8513
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 9c | 13,895$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 7c | 8,037$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.37 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 14c | 5,769$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Under | 80c | 3,500$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 14c | 3,305$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.83 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 20c | 2,909$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.24 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 6c | 2,577$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 17c | 1,977$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.52 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 11c | 1,403$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.82 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Over | 2c | 1,112$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Under | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 79c | 999.98$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 16c | 759.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 2c | 705.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Over | 18c | 680.71$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.53 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Over | 19c | 550$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1411…631dbacked Over | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Over | 21c | 410.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 21c | 400.9$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 21c | 339.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…7708backed Over | 10c | 275.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 20c | 210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 6c | 208.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…bd5ebacked Over | 20c | 197.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 19c | 190.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 19c | 182.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Over | 19c | 180$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 21c | 177.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 7c | 173.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 20c | 169.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 328 | 37.2%122 W · 206 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 17c | 160$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over | 22c | 143.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…6fcfbacked Over | 20c | 124.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 11c | 106.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…d454backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b83…2eadbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Over | 20c | 95.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed Over | 19c | 89.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…78e8backed Over | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 80c | 63.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 20c | 54.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f71…b80ebacked Under | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed Under | 80c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 276 | 63%174 W · 102 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 80c | 24.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…eed6backed Under | 80c | 19.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 229 | 57.6%132 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 1.5this page
- Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Canada won
- Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Canada won
- Spread: Morocco (-5.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.