Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Canada (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb42dbec8465cdd7a9f8f803fa13fdc4a14fd00e680c00c253a2f5a55e06d9337
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Moroccoof Canada, Morocco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $527,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $621,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Canada | 5c | 59,999$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.69 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed Canada | 2c | 50,995$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.97 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Canada | 4c | 22,992$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.91 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Canada | 4c | 18,391$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.67 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed Canada | 5c | 18,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…ada5backed Canada | 6c | 17,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Canada | 7c | 8,571$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Canada | 5c | 8,300$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.2 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…57acbacked Canada | 5c | 8,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…875bbacked Canada | 7c | 7,500$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Canada | 5c | 3,786$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.54 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Canada | 4c | 2,721$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.43 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Canada | 4c | 2,561$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Canada | 5c | 2,522$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…4018backed Canada | 5c | 1,976$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 91 | 14.3%13 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Canada | 6c | 1,938$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Canada | 5c | 1,784$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…b4ebbacked Canada | 7c | 1,449$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Canada | 5c | 1,360$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Canada | 5c | 1,339$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Canada | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Canada | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Canada | 4c | 988$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Canada | 3c | 806.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b6…30a7backed Canada | 5c | 716.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…dd3abacked Canada | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Canada | 5c | 710.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…3b0bbacked Canada | 6c | 655.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Canada | 5c | 653.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2763backed Canada | 5c | 642.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Canada | 5c | 638.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…5fecbacked Canada | 8c | 612.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…f971backed Canada | 5c | 595.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Canada | 5c | 575.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 209 | 32.5%68 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…9c4ebacked Canada | 6c | 545.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 100 | 19%19 W · 81 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Canada | 5c | 516.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 211 | 28%59 W · 152 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Canada | 5c | 506$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…ef55backed Canada | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…b4ecbacked Canada | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Canada | 7c | 433.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Canada | 5c | 382$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Canada | 5c | 300.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canada | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Canada | 4c | 299.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Canada | 4c | 290.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…534bbacked Canada | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Canada | 5c | 218.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Canada | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…037abacked Canada | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf58…c6fdbacked Canada | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Canada | 7c | 199.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…9474backed Canada | 8c | 189.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…d264backed Canada | 8c | 183.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Canada | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)this page
- Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Canada won
- Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Canada won
- Spread: Morocco (-5.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.