TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,289 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcc72…2888backed Under1c1,354$14 inLost-$13.5427227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c2…51abbacked Over42c920$386 inWon+$533.874440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under58c854.65$495 inLost-$495.481,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Under59c724.04$426 inLost-$426.318048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc886…4f48backed Over41c487.8$200 inWon+$287.85313.2%7 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-59.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under63c369.49$231 inLost-$230.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under59c350.96$207 inLost-$207.061,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under46c276.37$126 inLost-$126.1282537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1bc…420dbacked Under59c272.17$160 inLost-$16010130.7%31 W · 70 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb81…2dadbacked Over40c270.65$108 inWon+$162.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+112.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over56c250.54$141 inWon+$109.934,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over41c243.9$100 inWon+$143.924649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over50c201.5$100 inWon+$101.181,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Under61c161.63$99 inLost-$98.599957.6%57 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under9c152.28$13 inLost-$13.1672247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4888…f20bbacked Under60c137.21$82 inLost-$82.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e37…cfbdbacked Under60c133.44$80 inLost-$80.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Under63c132$83 inLost-$83.1620652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f5f…b8efbacked Over64c125$80 inWon+$458355.4%46 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Under35c102.86$36 inLost-$3610954.1%59 W · 50 L-0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c1…ddd6backed Over41c97.56$40 inWon+$57.5619932.2%64 W · 135 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over41c78.25$32 inWon+$46.272,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over43c55.59$24 inWon+$31.591,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under58c55$32 inLost-$31.93,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8001…40ffbacked Over39c51.28$20 inWon+$31.281050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea8e…debbbacked Over41c48.78$20 inWon+$28.789133%30 W · 61 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Over41c46.34$19 inWon+$27.349734%33 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed Under59c45$27 inLost-$26.557460.8%45 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b54…09c5backed Over43c35.08$15 inWon+$20.086045%27 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…faa7backed Under63c31.75$20 inLost-$209248.9%45 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under63c29$18 inLost-$18.2773536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under61c25.64$16 inLost-$15.6418543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Under46c25.06$11 inLost-$11.524540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234d…bdc2backed Under63c23.81$15 inLost-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c9c…37b9backed Over55c20$11 inWon+$95048%24 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under57c19.73$11 inLost-$11.172,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Over64c19.71$13 inWon+$7.118431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.