TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Morocco (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Canadaof Morocco, Canada
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,808 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8996…fbcebacked Morocco4c52,560$1,891 inLost-$1,890.992425%6 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Morocco4c40,000$1,480 inLost-$1,48042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Morocco2c10,639$214 inLost-$213.832,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Morocco1c8,475$68 inLost-$67.83,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ed…0b79backed Morocco3c5,000$170 inLost-$1701225%3 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+73.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Morocco4c4,150$145 inLost-$145.2560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Morocco2c1,460$33 inLost-$32.662,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20c…f4c7backed Morocco2c1,010$20 inLost-$202245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Morocco3c1,004$35 inLost-$34.8417919%34 W · 145 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db2…2407backed Morocco3c1,000$33 inLost-$33270%0 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f67…ba88backed Morocco3c989.91$33 inLost-$32.67430%0 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Morocco2c797.06$17 inLost-$16.742,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4652…96febacked Morocco3c700$23 inLost-$23.1160%0 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Morocco4c557.87$20 inLost-$19.937042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacca…3fb0backed Morocco3c550$18 inLost-$18.15240%0 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Morocco4c500.74$18 inLost-$17.723,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a45…2b4dbacked Morocco3c500$17 inLost-$16.5340%0 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb83d…826fbacked Morocco3c464$15 inLost-$15.31313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Morocco4c448.89$16 inLost-$16.363,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Morocco3c415.82$12 inLost-$12.472,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Morocco4c308.53$11 inLost-$11.373,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.