Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7c67fe8aacddfea013c90ed543611d68b76bb7770be13c82f21684c35949abe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1de4…fababacked Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 14c | 978.36$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 127 | 9.4%12 W · 115 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…7568backed Yes | 19c | 866.37$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 16c | 619.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 78c | 389.07$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 17c | 346.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…d146backed Yes | 22c | 325.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce84…86f0backed Yes | 15c | 303.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…d013backed Yes | 7c | 265.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…0755backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…8be7backed Yes | 9c | 232.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 21c | 223.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…70c2backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6999…ae54backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 40.8%100 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…b252backed No | 78c | 192$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Yes | 16c | 186.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…45cfbacked Yes | 16c | 183.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26e…036bbacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936a…928bbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…9e43backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 23.5%24 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 78c | 154.12$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked No | 73c | 151.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 70 | 78.6%55 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…6bedbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…420dbacked Yes | 23c | 128.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…41c8backed Yes | 20c | 125.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…2960backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0872…b65bbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Yes | 19c | 109.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b85…fbb7backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…0fcbbacked Yes | 15c | 103.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 267 | 20.6%55 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…da90backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…2548backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 79c | 89.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…0c7cbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23db…e5a1backed Yes | 17c | 82.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…e929backed Yes | 19c | 79.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…d136backed Yes | 26c | 77.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 18c | 72.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 150 | 46.7%70 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…f519backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…2406backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 26c | 69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Yes | 18c | 65.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed No | 80c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c96…5c6abacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 47.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…2920backed Yes | 27c | 45.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…c1c2backed Yes | 22c | 44.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…7c0bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 62c | 38.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 77c | 31.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6883…b69bbacked Yes | 57c | 24.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?this page
- Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Canada won
- Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Canada won
- Spread: Morocco (-5.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.