TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,482

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,847 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Under74c11,484$8,505 inLost-$8,505.458,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over28c9,714$2,677 inWon+$7,036.8658049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over12c1,238$146 inWon+$1,091.551,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over21c796.51$169 inWon+$627.114,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over14c599.05$83 inWon+$515.682,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over17c514.38$87 inWon+$426.942,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under75c506$377 inLost-$377.382537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…e3f0backed Over54c275.41$148 inWon+$126.911050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b8a…3f25backed Over33c265$87 inWon+$177.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Over18c227.86$41 inWon+$186.8541231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over19c174.94$33 inWon+$142.351,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over11c172.62$19 inWon+$153.581,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under58c163.04$95 inLost-$95.2972247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over24c127.25$31 inWon+$96.3673536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4765…ca11backed Over17c117.65$20 inWon+$97.6511612.9%15 W · 101 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x516c…8bb5backed Over10c116.1$12 inWon+$104.49580%4 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick34cpaid+344.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c6b…f60fbacked Under72c96.15$69 inLost-$69.232281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick65cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xffd7…d993backed Over33c90.91$30 inWon+$60.911258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over14c90.77$13 inWon+$77.772,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b5…6b5fbacked Over19c78.95$15 inWon+$63.9520025.5%51 W · 149 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcca9…af95backed Under18c76.17$14 inLost-$142924.1%7 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick12cpaid+155.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over17c70$12 inWon+$58.13,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over18c67.99$12 inWon+$56.032,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under76c16.24$12 inLost-$12.3519064.2%122 W · 68 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under69c16.04$11 inLost-$11.0765036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.