Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eb1e74d65ec34c3f268ae2f5de18156b70d3214fadb5cdcdff8b48664984be6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $307,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbadb…3e33backed Over | 10c | 29,698$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 7c | 27,026$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.11 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 3c | 14,211$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.86 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 1c | 11,395$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Over | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa235…34bbbacked Over | 10c | 8,202$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.21 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 9c | 6,243$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.35 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 2c | 5,743$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 7c | 3,416$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.12 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 9c | 2,880$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.74 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f82…b06cbacked Over | 9c | 2,575$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.71 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over | 1c | 2,301$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…10c9backed Over | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 1c | 2,214$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Over | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 9c | 1,850$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Over | 8c | 1,750$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 4c | 1,391$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…0857backed Over | 1c | 1,177$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 8c | 1,138$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Over | 8c | 1,100$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 4c | 855.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 6c | 703.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 3c | 699.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…bb2fbacked Over | 9c | 602.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…0619backed Over | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 9c | 543$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 8c | 512$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked Over | 10c | 486.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Over | 6c | 460$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 6c | 351.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Over | 9c | 342.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…08eebacked Over | 9c | 327.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 262 | 43.1%113 W · 149 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Over | 6c | 226.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…daf7backed Over | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 21.8%41 W · 147 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Over | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Over | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5this page
- Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5Under won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Canada won
- Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Canada won
- Spread: Morocco (-5.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.