TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,400 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7462…3ac3backed Under53c2,500$1,326 inWon+$1,173.647653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaba…cf38backed Over47c2,248$1,052 inLost-$1,052.296647%31 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under42c595.24$251 inWon+$344.4983153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over41c533.51$221 inLost-$220.691,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over46c526$242 inLost-$241.512,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over38c511.89$195 inLost-$194.734,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over58c500$290 inLost-$2901,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over42c428.89$181 inLost-$180.532,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec5…9fe0backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost-$2008727.6%24 W · 63 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under54c258.82$139 inWon+$12058049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over46c226.74$103 inLost-$103.332,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under36c211.05$76 inWon+$135.042,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over46c171.85$79 inLost-$79.052,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…00eabacked Over45c171.11$77 inLost-$7711643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad4…319dbacked Under39c157.57$62 inWon+$95.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over62c152.61$94 inLost-$94.191,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over64c131.6$84 inLost-$84.223,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5de…c4a9backed Over44c113.13$50 inLost-$509156%51 W · 40 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under48c99.91$48 inWon+$51.882,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c97.75$44 inWon+$53.761,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over64c86.4$55 inLost-$55.233,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c58.85$32 inLost-$32.028,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Over58c50$29 inLost-$2945254.6%247 W · 205 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under45c48$22 inWon+$26.441551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c5d…24bbbacked Over51c43.33$22 inLost-$22.0213445.5%61 W · 73 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76fb…5ef5backed Under35c39.87$14 inWon+$25.872556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Under59c38.64$23 inWon+$15.9224540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac2a…4543backed Over65c30.77$20 inLost-$202263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under53c30.1$16 inWon+$14.2419862.1%123 W · 75 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under46c29$13 inWon+$15.7277051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under48c26.13$13 inWon+$13.5953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over47c21.45$10 inLost-$10.1821565.1%140 W · 75 L+16.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over63c17.54$11 inLost-$11.186656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.