TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$283,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$283,601

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under79c100,538$79,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,331.184,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over27c25,161$6,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,793.3545428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Under73c14,500$10,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,914.987757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over9c11,484$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.862,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Over27c11,111$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over29c10,083$2,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.31,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under71c7,613$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.291,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over26c7,459$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under70c6,135$4,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.792,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over25c5,600$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40010657.5%61 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under70c5,586$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.789266.3%61 W · 31 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50024144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0108…0d26backed Over29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4502045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9929633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over28c4,286$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.932,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under72c4,283$3,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.341,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…4c7abacked Over28c3,819$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.2318736.4%68 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over28c3,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97559230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Over30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over26c3,333$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.5732029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under72c2,903$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.142,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under72c2,825$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.9117949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over28c2,774$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.8210744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under71c2,760$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.425857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under76c2,632$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.5820262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over29c2,491$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.3230431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over2c2,306$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5474034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over29c2,150$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over27c1,689$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.32,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Over30c1,662$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.55352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under61c1,652$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.8215149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x78f0…d502backed Over30c1,624$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.122425%6 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd754…5222backed Under72c1,563$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.761080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+38.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under73c1,522$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.73,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Over5c1,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756637.9%25 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under72c1,490$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.521,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Over26c1,416$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.9623240.5%94 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over27c1,404$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.6695037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Under72c1,377$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.614242.3%60 W · 82 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Over22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over30c1,167$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…7cabbacked Under71c1,148$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.988552.9%45 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over20c1,137$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.892,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under76c1,100$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26437451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Over3c1,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.487724.7%19 W · 58 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+56.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8cc9…47f2backed Over27c925.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024226.4%64 W · 178 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Over22c915.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9929030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Over2c902.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1518118.2%33 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Over21c900$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18913837.7%52 W · 86 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3314…67f5backed Over5c820$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under71c800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23247442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Over13c800$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10310250%51 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Over7c799.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5612040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Over22c780.95$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.816129.5%18 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over30c779$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.242,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over28c715.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20033544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Under72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4414568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb37…f9bbbacked Under72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.446939.1%27 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under75c691.8$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2539644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e0…1a1abacked Over29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under73c684$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.682,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under73c684$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.682,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over29c678.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over14c675$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.516725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over39c675$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.251,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over30c658$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.440649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over30c656.67$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19729636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d71…ca3ebacked Under70c649.99$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1955457.4%31 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over29c637.93$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18527637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Over29c620.69$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806920.3%14 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17415920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over36c599.95$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9813548.9%66 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Over17c595.38$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5787938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over2c581.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3243230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f68…8fb7backed Over30c555.75$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1658341%34 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1926…83ccbacked Over27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Under76c545.15$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8434751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under75c530$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.524247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x504e…1a2fbacked Over29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over22c515$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.33545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Over26c511.35$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9512724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked Over29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14516841.1%69 W · 99 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over25c499.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Over14c495.4$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5462633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over29c465.52$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13525737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over4c440$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.558530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2982…2d3dbacked Under71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.546759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over11c404.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3473234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked Over17c403.02$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3525741.6%107 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under71c399.95$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9944144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over10c399.11$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3837944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over3c399$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0669826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Under71c395.72$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7643139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked Over26c388.46$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10122032.3%71 W · 149 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Over27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021943.8%96 W · 123 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.