Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd326544fd645f99cb637ff91bb8421963c8aae6db61673acf26031026a23be6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 12c | 15,376$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.62 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…5fa9backed Over | 15c | 7,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Over | 19c | 4,999$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.9 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 13c | 4,808$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.8 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 12c | 3,423$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 11c | 2,836$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.83 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Over | 6c | 2,499$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 8c | 2,002$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.03 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 4c | 1,713$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 19c | 1,487$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.88 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 5c | 1,263$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 19c | 897.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.46 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Over | 4c | 886$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Over | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 9c | 799.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 5c | 698$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Over | 23c | 657.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 167 | 47.3%79 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e26…8991backed Over | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 15c | 517.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Over | 10c | 507.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 19c | 496.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 21c | 401.27$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Over | 16c | 380.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 19c | 346.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 77c | 342$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 79c | 282$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Over | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 21c | 275$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…610abacked Over | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 20c | 145$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…3c86backed Over | 18c | 134.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Over | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 20c | 83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 21c | 73.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 15c | 72.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 19c | 61.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5this page
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Australia (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.