Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44ae8c8f7bb5cccb6bd52009251cb6500726e6e639ef0f1a638b808ad16992a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 14c | 106,856$15,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,398.47 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Over | 13c | 11,411$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.64 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Over | 1c | 10,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 12c | 9,379$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.93 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 14c | 6,783$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.05 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 13c | 6,666$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.58 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Over | 2c | 6,192$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.66 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 13c | 5,595$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.35 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 13c | 5,500$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 1c | 5,227$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Over | 14c | 3,150$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 12c | 3,147$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.65 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over | 14c | 2,809$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.26 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 15c | 2,588$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.15 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Over | 12c | 1,589$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.66 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 3c | 1,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Over | 6c | 1,015$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…2763backed Over | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 186 | 26.3%49 W · 137 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Over | 13c | 852.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Over | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…8720backed Over | 12c | 750$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Over | 13c | 745.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…f6dabacked Over | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Over | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 120 | 13.3%16 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Over | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 320 | 46.6%149 W · 171 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked Over | 14c | 475$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…10c0backed Over | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…3e0abacked Over | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 267 | 16.1%43 W · 224 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa764…20e6backed Over | 14c | 347.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Over | 5c | 346.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 13c | 340$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Over | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked Over | 12c | 240$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 15c | 234.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…f042backed Over | 7c | 226.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over | 12c | 198.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…05d3backed Over | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Over | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…daf7backed Over | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 21.8%41 W · 147 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…daaebacked Over | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885e…08b8backed Over | 13c | 138.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 11c | 132.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Over | 14c | 123.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…685bbacked Over | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 14c | 106.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 15c | 103.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Over | 13c | 102.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 13c | 93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 14c | 72.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 3.5this page
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Australia (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.