MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10d3ce265a1e1ab47359d7b27ddce67bd5ea2cd5fa35133f6a5d1a1fb3905003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 50c | 66,708$33,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,180.14 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 32,677$16,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,068.51 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 23,168$11,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,018.87 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 17,714$7,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,391.68 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed New York Mets | 51c | 15,979$8,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,829.51 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 51c | 15,256$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,479.19 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 49c | 12,264$5,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,284.26 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 11,546$5,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,822.56 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 10,000$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Mets | 49c | 9,874$4,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,083.08 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 8,200$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 6,731$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.99 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 5,911$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.42 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 5,433$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.45 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 51c | 4,907$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.78 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 4,643$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.52 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 3,992$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.9 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 3,511$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.76 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked New York Mets | 50c | 3,279$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.36 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Mets | 48c | 3,152$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.37 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed New York Mets | 49c | 3,119$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.46 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 2,989$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.92 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 53c | 2,628$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.87 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked New York Mets | 48c | 2,626$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.85 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed New York Mets | 48c | 2,483$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.38 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,148$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.8 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…9d03backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,056$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked New York Mets | 48c | 2,040$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.8 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 50c | 2,002$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.93 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Mets | 48c | 2,000$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,920$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.89 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 1,891$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.47 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb98…534abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,857$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 1,800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 1,712$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…fccdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 1,589$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets | 44c | 1,128$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.19 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,101$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.76 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,079$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.57 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 49c | 1,047$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.1 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 938$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.5 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed New York Mets | 48c | 923.41$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.9 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 906.49$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 899.97$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.49 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked New York Mets | 63c | 792.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.85 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed New York Mets | 59c | 787.79$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.07 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…e4e0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 4c | 751.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 720$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 700$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.1 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 697.98$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.48 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 680.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 646.99$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.55 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 614$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.66 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 607.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.45 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…04f6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 590.15$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.89 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 588.24$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.94 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 582.53$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.24 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 571$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 3c | 529.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 522.97$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 521.83$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.26 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed New York Mets | 49c | 511.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.82 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 489$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.61 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 480.18$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.06 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 479.26$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.36 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 479$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.52 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 473.51$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.9 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 79c | 468.65$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed New York Mets | 47c | 432.7$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.88 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed New York Mets | 56c | 423.87$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.78 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed New York Mets | 47c | 409.96$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.05 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 350.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…6fcbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 343.16$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed New York Mets | 64c | 339.98$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 5c | 328$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed New York Mets | 48c | 307.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.7 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Mets | 51c | 294.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.7 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked New York Mets | 61c | 279.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked New York Mets | 47c | 273.62$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.62 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 267.62$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.52 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 243.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 48c | 238$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 222$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 221.17$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 46c | 214.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked New York Mets | 48c | 207.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked New York Mets | 49c | 206.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.19 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 206$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked New York Mets | 49c | 205.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New York Mets | 48c | 199.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Mets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 188.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 187.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed New York Mets | 63c | 186.38$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.