TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,056

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,514 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes27c22,959$6,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,715.222737%10 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No57c12,468$7,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,140.5946644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c12,174$8,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,791.598844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No69c5,239$3,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,601.289431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes70c3,976$2,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf888…1c98backed Yes29c3,724$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.451030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Yes26c2,501$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Yes50c1,968$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9842100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa732…2723backed Yes27c1,852$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61b9…8913backed Yes53c1,596$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c1,410$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.1347850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes25c1,153$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.513946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No72c928$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+566.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Yes13c700$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6091526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No73c684.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.051070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes27c631.36$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.8913049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No73c602.98$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.1830055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes53c571.28$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.281050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes73c505$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No35c499.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No15c499.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735119.6%10 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No74c426.58$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.22560%15 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed No49c410.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Yes78c404.96$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.112540%10 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No74c394.34$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8610857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7007…5c07backed Yes59c359.81$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c334.9$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1416858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No74c315.5$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.47825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes22c306.13$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.0924732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No63c295.36$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0614843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No72c288.04$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.392740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes69c287.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No72c268.24$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.383253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No73c266.21$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.134148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No72c262.08$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.73850%19 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c256.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5114955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No74c243$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.821560%9 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No41c240.81$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5814047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes60c204.12$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.845853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No72c191.45$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.682147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed No73c188.74$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.781163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.195048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes29c172.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.591566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed No74c171$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.541070%7 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-48.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Yes25c140$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.34per pick38cpaid+88.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes26c116$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8432453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes26c113.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.14637%17 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Yes26c112.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.62922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Yes27c108.75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.382070%14 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes34c102.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.382030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed No72c93.3$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes80c80$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes33c77.51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6211050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes36c74.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1416865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.073145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No39c67.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.429714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4f55…4213backed No74c67.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked No24c64.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.23911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-74.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe75b…b4f5backed Yes58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No38c52.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.044252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No76c52.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.992748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No76c52.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.995255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No76c52.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.993756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No76c52.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.995154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No76c52.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.995257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No76c52.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No76c52.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.992657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No76c52.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.994355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed No74c50.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-51.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes31c44.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7214951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.674100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d9…3805backed Yes48c41.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe52e…169cbacked No74c39.19$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed Yes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-69.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…5a9fbacked No72c31.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf19b…4db7backed No74c28.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked No40c27.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114626.1%12 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7ee…0ad8backed Yes72c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3667…1ff9backed Yes75c22.73$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No75c21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7511940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab35…118dbacked No75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd074…5a54backed No61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.16580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7dd…de16backed Yes80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2b…e55dbacked Yes71c16.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No76c14.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.851844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No75c14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.513243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed Yes80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd40e…39a4backed Yes80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.