TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes13c25,463$3,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,209.542737%10 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x027d…9606backed Yes12c3,584$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.5340%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes37c2,588$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.59156.7%1 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.34per pick41cpaid-77%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Yes14c2,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf888…1c98backed Yes9c1,979$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.121030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c1,839$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.3147850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes13c1,536$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.38825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes37c1,090$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.34341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes39c1,017$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Yes37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No79c803.25$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7330954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No63c753.99$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.674148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No63c750$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No63c700$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.511752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No63c700$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.511057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No62c633.98$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.3916858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Yes6c599.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes31c529.89$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.621283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+48.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes38c515.24$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.444040%16 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No61c509.89$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.830055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes7c431.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.21855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No77c413.61$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9710857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No67c365.67$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.765255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No67c365.67$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.765154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No67c365.67$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.765754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No67c365.67$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.764355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No64c331.66$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.062748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No64c331.66$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.065257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No64c331.66$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.061643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes6c289.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4624732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes37c218.92$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked No62c210$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed No62c210$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1470%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed No64c188.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.711163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No62c185$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc933…f519backed Yes16c182.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7086…38e5backed Yes22c180.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No76c177$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.092236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Yes21c175.68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes39c164.44$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1343748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.256549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.253756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes18c147$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.02944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No80c135.3$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.661560%9 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No67c134.39$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.773850%19 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…a69bbacked Yes36c130$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Yes20c129$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.852650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No80c123.9$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.782751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes19c122.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5314047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Yes20c117.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.991650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No68c116$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1223551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Yes22c113.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes26c112$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.561855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes19c95.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.515853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No63c94.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.993154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes38c92.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes20c86.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2511050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No73c86.69$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.372454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked No64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes20c70.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.269714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked No74c60.21$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.77875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.721952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No63c59.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No72c58.17$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.543253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No61c57.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6714955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d4…125ebacked Yes37c46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes32c41.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No61c41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9932453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.063262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No71c35.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4616865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked No65c29.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.341172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked No80c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.84100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No63c28.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.675558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63c3…a7fdbacked No71c28.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.131050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes39c25.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.061330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f5…3e64backed No80c25.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No80c25.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.141850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No80c25.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.142846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c38…291fbacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-75.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb71…288ebacked No64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.444100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9276…6c26backed No64c23.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed No63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick62cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed No63c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.922878.6%22 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed No79c12.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.692748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.