Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Switzerland vs Croatia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46f91305894a53cac8186ee508b12d3987947018fe0c33557e7cb22668c5be0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Croatiaof Switzerland, Croatia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Switzerland | 35c | 2,525$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.98 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Switzerland | 19c | 1,577$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.27 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Switzerland | 34c | 1,498$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.69 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Switzerland | 9c | 1,295$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Croatia | 64c | 1,294$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Switzerland | 47c | 1,181$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.71 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Croatia | 22c | 1,085$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.22 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Switzerland | 55c | 956.83$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.63 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Croatia | 53c | 937.37$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.47 | 325 | 40.9%133 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Switzerland | 33c | 868.19$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.37 | 432 | 44.2%191 W · 241 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Croatia | 14c | 511.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.4 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Croatia | 13c | 500$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Croatia | 50c | 471.8$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.9 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Croatia | 71c | 418.54$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.07 | 510 | 47.6%243 W · 267 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Switzerland | 80c | 397.67$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.9 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Switzerland | 33c | 367.59$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Croatia | 63c | 332.18$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.87 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3851…6927backed Croatia | 41c | 315.87$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Croatia | 73c | 268.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Switzerland | 40c | 222.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 427 | 47.8%204 W · 223 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Croatia | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Switzerland | 36c | 181.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Switzerland | 55c | 169.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f1a8backed Croatia | 52c | 152.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Switzerland | 54c | 139.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc3…7619backed Croatia | 60c | 132.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd171…1722backed Croatia | 50c | 128.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Croatia | 36c | 116$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…d3dfbacked Croatia | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Switzerland | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Croatia | 46c | 91.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Switzerland | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Croatia | 47c | 84.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Croatia | 57c | 78.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…3954backed Croatia | 69c | 66.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…f4dbbacked Croatia | 78c | 59.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Croatia | 50c | 54.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Switzerland | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…486ebacked Croatia | 50c | 45.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7f…cdffbacked Croatia | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Croatia | 75c | 39.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…00a7backed Switzerland | 56c | 35.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…74bfbacked Croatia | 31c | 34.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187e…70d3backed Croatia | 75c | 33.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Switzerland | 43c | 32.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5616…64cdbacked Croatia | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +10.4wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Switzerland | 73c | 29.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Switzerland | 68c | 28.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Switzerland | 53c | 28.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…dd0dbacked Croatia | 50c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Switzerland | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32a8…1608backed Switzerland | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Croatia | 65c | 15.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.