TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Russia win on 2026-05-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,468
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,468 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x511f…cbe1backed No69c3,322$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.1321958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes33c3,312$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0902268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked Yes30c3,068$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9306516.9%11 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked No75c2,531$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.5120262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c2,433$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.064,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes30c2,230$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.1425031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa902…d159backed Yes31c1,596$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004744.7%21 W · 26 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No70c1,272$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.531747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No71c940.33$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.452,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes29c856.71$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3427520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc23…775abacked Yes15c809.31$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211010%1 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c73…68e7backed No71c709.98$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.892487.5%21 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes29c644$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7658530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes3c620$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4912639.7%50 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed No70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18037451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Yes28c580.31$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010152.5%53 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No69c504$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7459752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No69c486.21$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.381,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes27c482.38$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5617218.6%32 W · 140 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No71c473.98$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.451,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No71c455.73$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed Yes27c443.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.882445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No72c387$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9615158.3%88 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes27c364.53$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1431545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No73c349.73$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.626435.9%23 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc92…8d1dbacked Yes29c321.73$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.187754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes24c305.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5533350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked No70c300.64$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1921046.7%98 W · 112 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No77c284.03$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4620250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e9b…526cbacked No73c274.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.112152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No74c261.24$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.581,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes27c248.87$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5323729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No68c222.31$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.123056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes27c216.34$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.416152.2%84 W · 77 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe662…8954backed Yes31c209.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506331.7%20 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes26c186.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5776551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes12c186.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.492,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf788…6cdbbacked Yes27c182.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes25c181.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2411219.6%22 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No71c180$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0528256.7%160 W · 122 L-0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes28c179.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509936.4%36 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No69c174$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9433538.8%130 W · 205 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No76c169.13$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7723345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes29c165.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.899254.3%50 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No74c154$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6636335.8%130 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No73c152.62$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1463151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff8d…93fcbacked Yes27c149.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes26c142.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9388838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No71c139.86$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.564257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x840a…600cbacked Yes28c135.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed No74c135.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6813372.9%97 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No72c135.5$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.533237.3%124 W · 208 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked No74c134.07$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2117664.8%114 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3bf…a509backed Yes26c132.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No73c127.55$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5835035.7%125 W · 225 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes28c124.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.995839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes24c124$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308127.2%22 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82f…aba0backed Yes30c123.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379552.6%50 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No76c114.8$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0628042.1%118 W · 162 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes24c112.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4911648.3%56 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No72c110$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.835136.8%129 W · 222 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed No72c104$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.123636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd586…8d99backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2825641%105 W · 151 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d6…b8bebacked Yes26c98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes21c96.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2663745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed Yes24c90$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7534035%119 W · 221 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes28c87.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2913231.8%42 W · 90 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No60c86.74$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.691,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No70c85.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.461947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No73c81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2333937.5%127 W · 212 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes15c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1246445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3538…1035backed Yes27c74.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe34a…273ebacked Yes27c74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No71c71.84$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8530751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6719…1e71backed Yes24c70.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782b…a8adbacked Yes29c70.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017945.3%81 W · 98 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d3…5f8ebacked No74c67.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.441361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes27c66.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181659.7%16 W · 149 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No72c65.45$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5681554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x315d…b420backed No69c65.04$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.043345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes26c64.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9338439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No71c56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2432639%127 W · 199 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3929…afd2backed Yes25c55.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd764…ae83backed No75c53.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.633737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes27c53.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4727745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes23c52.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1936139.1%141 W · 220 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked No66c52.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.899854.1%53 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Yes24c50.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0685851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06cc…2e61backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46eb…e2e5backed Yes29c47.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No74c47.29$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1837348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e07…c588backed Yes41c45.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.695939%23 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No69c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.951,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43bc…fcdfbacked Yes34c43.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153540%14 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ce…1c02backed Yes28c42.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked No74c42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7411238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.