Fifa International · resolved market
Will Egypt vs. Russia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d50607d01afea859733999b2310ed8f69b9c3a1a2e0224ae7a5fec1b122305c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 27c | 3,760$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 74c | 3,320$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.13 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 2,937$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.92 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 10c | 2,157$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.47 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c74…205cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,700$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 29c | 757.04$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 27c | 699.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 25c | 692$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.37 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 72c | 585.69$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 571.37$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 36c | 555.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Yes | 44c | 551.71$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 29c | 521.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 279 | 51.6%144 W · 135 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 36c | 394$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 75c | 387$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Yes | 30c | 335.21$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…69e1backed Yes | 32c | 314.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 25c | 294.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 23c | 294.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 286.21$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 80c | 272.15$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 69c | 261.25$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 69c | 254$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 6c | 250$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked No | 73c | 249.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…bdcabacked Yes | 44c | 222.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 194.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 184.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 73c | 181$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 180$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 29c | 178.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes | 28c | 168$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…d1c1backed Yes | 33c | 149.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 73c | 142$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Yes | 29c | 140.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b9…9d98backed Yes | 28c | 136.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…3efebacked No | 74c | 135.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 71c | 132$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 13c | 114.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 34c | 109.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 73c | 107.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 75c | 106.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 30c | 101.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed No | 79c | 94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 79c | 88.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 464 | 45.5%211 W · 253 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 69c | 72.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Yes | 27c | 61.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 69c | 61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 72c | 59.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed No | 72c | 58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…8d1dbacked Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 71c | 53.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 73c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 74c | 49.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…30a4backed Yes | 26c | 46.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 66c | 44.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Yes | 29c | 37.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8d…2762backed Yes | 39c | 35.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6b…5cd9backed Yes | 53c | 34.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 70c | 33.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5483…5e9fbacked No | 57c | 25.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 69c | 23.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…87d2backed Yes | 54c | 20.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed No | 68c | 19.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 72c | 17.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 64c | 15.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 70c | 15.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 74c | 14.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Egypt vs. Russia end in a draw?this page
- Will Egypt win on 2026-05-28?Yes won
- Will Russia win on 2026-05-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.