Cricket · resolved market
T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Malaysia vs Nepal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93ce6b9762a1d96dcff9002dde3e5c5f5339132ef87c9e1efd346fab7d02efa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Malaysiaof Malaysia, Nepal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nepal | 14c | 2,703$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.31 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4df…3b5abacked Nepal | 14c | 2,100$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.36 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Malaysia | 68c | 1,315$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.93 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nepal | 35c | 1,037$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.81 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed Malaysia | 70c | 550.51$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Malaysia | 14c | 521.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.08 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nepal | 36c | 492.65$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.19 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Malaysia | 9c | 451.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.67 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Malaysia | 19c | 432.46$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.96 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Malaysia | 18c | 417.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.43 | 676 | 31.4%212 W · 464 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…7cf2backed Malaysia | 59c | 351.04$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…43d5backed Nepal | 8c | 311.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Nepal | 12c | 300.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…5143backed Nepal | 40c | 247.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Malaysia | 17c | 244.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.68 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Malaysia | 14c | 237.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.41 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Malaysia | 33c | 206.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Malaysia | 11c | 205.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.25 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187e…70d3backed Malaysia | 23c | 201.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Malaysia | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Nepal | 76c | 191.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 192 | 65.6%126 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45f…4fd4backed Nepal | 30c | 165.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Nepal | 75c | 162.09$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Malaysia | 26c | 154.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.27 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…5291backed Nepal | 8c | 140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…6660backed Nepal | 60c | 130$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…91c0backed Malaysia | 52c | 128.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…99e4backed Malaysia | 27c | 124.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4792…8870backed Malaysia | 13c | 123.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Nepal | 43c | 119.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Malaysia | 18c | 104.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nepal | 57c | 101.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…dd0dbacked Malaysia | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…b4c3backed Malaysia | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Nepal | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nepal | 47c | 95.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 385 | 44.4%171 W · 214 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Nepal | 38c | 88.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Nepal | 72c | 74.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Malaysia | 63c | 71.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Malaysia | 30c | 67.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 416 | 47.4%197 W · 219 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Nepal | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…4f1fbacked Malaysia | 70c | 61.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Nepal | 79c | 60$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ad…eff6backed Nepal | 74c | 58.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Malaysia | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Malaysia | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…fc30backed Malaysia | 32c | 55.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…87d2backed Malaysia | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…ea32backed Nepal | 62c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Malaysia | 29c | 41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e8…f693backed Malaysia | 31c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Nepal | 80c | 37.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad4…1704backed Malaysia | 65c | 31.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Malaysia | 63c | 31.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Nepal | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd14…0368backed Malaysia | 77c | 27.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Nepal | 80c | 25.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Malaysia | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8487backed Malaysia | 60c | 17.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.