Lionel Messi: 3+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8996372f4c7e7679b64c7aaa3e9650ad1703d26519e10c759a1860c4cd4fe9c4

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $948,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $940,415

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $948,108 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4154…e7a8backed Yes	2c	280,698$6,946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,945.78	296	33.4%99 W · 197 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a22…c1efbacked Yes	2c	203,042$3,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,802.28	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Yes	3c	72,042$1,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,923.09	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	16cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed Yes	2c	24,132$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	87	10.3%9 W · 78 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	0c	20,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes	3c	19,443$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	69	13%9 W · 60 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf58…1deabacked Yes	2c	12,500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ba…d743backed Yes	1c	10,349$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.56	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7f69…f76dbacked Yes	3c	10,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a61…2727backed Yes	2c	7,300$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.6	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc29…7774backed Yes	3c	7,000$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Yes	1c	5,215$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.56	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Yes	3c	5,000$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes	2c	5,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	724	24.7%179 W · 545 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes	2c	5,000$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.76	254	18.1%46 W · 208 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e99…6ec3backed Yes	2c	4,557$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.25	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17a2…630bbacked Yes	3c	4,000$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	33cpaid	+172%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5626…80f0backed Yes	3c	4,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	62	1.6%1 W · 61 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0194…89d4backed Yes	2c	3,954$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.07	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf54c…e6ccbacked Yes	3c	3,864$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.47	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Yes	2c	3,461$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.75	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes	3c	3,269$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e6…b490backed Yes	3c	2,795$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.36	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	7cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d7…cc8fbacked Yes	2c	2,632$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	64	23.4%15 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2015…3fbfbacked Yes	1c	2,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2235…f3d7backed Yes	3c	2,458$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.45	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	2c	2,402$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.36	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Yes	2c	2,398$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.28	33	0%0 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes	2c	2,381$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	106	17.9%19 W · 87 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f4…72b5backed Yes	2c	2,363$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.9	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	2c	2,123$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.39	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes	2c	2,053$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.56	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	2c	2,000$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ac…5024backed Yes	3c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed1…27fcbacked Yes	3c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x826f…c0b4backed Yes	3c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes	2c	2,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	564	10.5%59 W · 505 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a5f…085abacked Yes	3c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-14%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes	3c	1,923$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1af8…9a99backed Yes	3c	1,852$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37f0…04f3backed Yes	3c	1,852$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	59	3.4%2 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x778f…e69cbacked Yes	3c	1,783$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.14	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc908…54f7backed Yes	2c	1,667$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes	3c	1,600$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	194	11.9%23 W · 171 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe976…e235backed Yes	3c	1,481$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ac…eab5backed Yes	1c	1,365$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.02	39	10.3%4 W · 35 L	-4.4wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-82.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda9b…14b5backed Yes	3c	1,310$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.36	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	3c	1,307$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.98	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5517…760ebacked Yes	3c	1,280$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5657…6c86backed Yes	3c	1,200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.40per pick	35cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ce5…77d9backed Yes	2c	1,175$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed Yes	2c	1,125$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	85	37.6%32 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x24d9…087bbacked Yes	3c	1,115$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ae…31bcbacked Yes	3c	1,111$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d8f…594fbacked Yes	2c	1,081$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.94	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	+12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7072…69acbacked Yes	1c	1,080$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	50	4%2 W · 48 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	2c	1,053$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8082…facfbacked Yes	2c	1,047$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	63	14.3%9 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…a12bbacked Yes	3c	1,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	83	26.5%22 W · 61 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe4c…eda2backed Yes	3c	1,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f60…c8bfbacked Yes	3c	1,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Yes	2c	1,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	140	49.3%69 W · 71 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Yes	3c	1,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	255	10.6%27 W · 228 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Yes	3c	1,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	462	47.6%220 W · 242 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe700…3614backed Yes	3c	1,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.18per pick	26cpaid	-85.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2612…e233backed Yes	3c	1,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71e7…f81cbacked Yes	3c	961.54$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	93	10.8%10 W · 83 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x316b…03c5backed Yes	4c	927.34$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d62…1f3cbacked Yes	3c	925.93$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe846…39c3backed Yes	2c	841.58$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.99	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes	3c	800$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09a0…5a39backed Yes	3c	800$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…587ebacked Yes	3c	800$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fe…778ebacked Yes	3c	769.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.16per pick	12cpaid	+95.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c44…2b9bbacked Yes	3c	769.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3903…2282backed Yes	3c	769.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes	3c	760$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	105	34.3%36 W · 69 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc82…b3f2backed Yes	2c	749.47$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e1…fa2abacked Yes	3c	740.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-4.9wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Yes	3c	700$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	276	37.7%104 W · 172 L	+15.3wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes	2c	680.31$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.3	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80c6…e3c1backed Yes	2c	666.67$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd0…f9e7backed Yes	3c	666.67$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes	2c	651.04$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.37	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	6cpaid	+883%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc191…bd7ebacked Yes	2c	625$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7169…8473backed Yes	3c	596.23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d5…01b6backed Yes	2c	583.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	40	20%8 W · 32 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedb7…01c3backed Yes	3c	569.8$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8271…1b26backed Yes	3c	555.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e7…06c1backed Yes	3c	546$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.65	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes	3c	540$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b51…2cf4backed Yes	3c	538.46$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	95	31.6%30 W · 65 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ba4…44bebacked Yes	3c	527.04$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5e…885cbacked Yes	2c	526.32$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-40%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9df…343fbacked Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5cf…c503backed Yes	3c	500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes	3c	500$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	167	47.3%79 W · 88 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes	3c	500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	228	25.4%58 W · 170 L	-13.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b34…a23dbacked Yes	3c	500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9c35…fb29backed Yes	2c	500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsthis page
Alex Baena: 1+ assistsNo won
Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
Alex Baena: 2+ goalsNo won
Alex Baena: 2+ shotsNo won
Alex Baena: 3+ shotsNo won
Alex Baena: 4+ shotsNo won
Alex Baena: 5+ shotsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ assistsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots on targetNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ shotsNo won
Cucurella: 1+ shotsYes won
Cucurella: 1+ shots on targetNo won
Cucurella: 2+ shotsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
Dani Olmo: 2+ goalsNo won
Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
Dani Olmo: 4+ shotsNo won
David Raya: 2+ savesNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ assistsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 4+ shotsNo won
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsNo won
Ferrán Torres: 1+ assistsNo won
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
Gavi Paez: 1+ goalsNo won
Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goalsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
Juan Musso: 2+ savesNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 4+ shotsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lionel Messi: 3+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event