TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c13,253$7,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,005.651,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c13,041$5,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,447.398,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over75c11,836$8,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,930.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under5c8,333$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,942.9911025.5%28 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under26c7,639$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,639.0853836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under53c7,566$4,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,556.013036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over53c6,912$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.792,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Under58c4,356$2,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under6c4,247$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,004.9310635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under30c4,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.982352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c3,630$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.711,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c3,244$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.935,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Over47c3,200$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over40c2,899$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.619447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e5…9105backed Under53c2,830$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over54c2,591$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.148833%29 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over46c2,500$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.51,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9329…035dbacked Over66c2,480$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over46c2,359$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.31,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under4c2,153$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.916232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003941%16 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.981258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over51c1,778$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over45c1,583$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.1919437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under5c1,419$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.276624.2%16 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick15cpaid+312.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x36d8…925dbacked Over73c1,260$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.82,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over32c1,115$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.341,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under6c1,111$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.046524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.951,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48020046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over43c947.28$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.3426835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.411855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under59c901.69$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.695837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under9c795.45$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.8617440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Over73c708.47$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.536230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over59c599.99$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.991833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under44c596.25$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.3295155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under7c563.81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.1314530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over10c555.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3410618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8063…7832backed Under57c517.54$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.541241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under43c489.57$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.497742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under69c468.25$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.229037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over77c441.48$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.921,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over46c432$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.569551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over45c400.82$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.371,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over5c378.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.477925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Over26c377.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004934.7%17 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under9c358.73$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.4318426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under52c347.85$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.736225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+118.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under55c341.31$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9825345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under46c332.96$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.696331.7%20 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under43c324$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3635240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under53c303.63$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.711758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+60.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under29c298.43$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.1182434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb89…82aabacked Over43c285.56$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.791040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over50c278.68$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.531,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over72c270.83$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1953360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under5c243.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.6545746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Over64c224.79$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.693961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over52c222$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.441030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa249…08b6backed Under7c221.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.673138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over71c219.77$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.48554.1%46 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Under57c199$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.573253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Under57c199$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.572245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over47c198.72$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2855946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under33c192.82$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7246449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.683658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over76c180.17$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3376951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under38c161.36$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4563061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over46c149$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.842,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over47c143$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2118247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over44c139.49$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.371827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under73c138.32$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.838928.1%25 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Over68c137.77$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6830%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under36c129.52$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6164633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over74c128.23$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Over44c126.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over47c123$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.722665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over44c119.6$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6240451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Under20c119.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.146053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Under53c117.92$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.421637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over48c114.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under56c114$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1638233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5d…df19backed Under44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.642454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over39c113.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7851750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Over26c113.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.485230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Under34c106.19$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.09650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+148.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under25c104$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7821752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Under58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.451250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed Under52c102.61$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.614858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5613850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over65c96.56$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1755250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under75c94.18$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.620036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under33c93.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.939852%51 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7127…c7a2backed Under16c92.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.461450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed Over60c91.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9113167.9%89 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over35c86.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8289645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.