South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aae235602f70ebd64372c6013602f903aff4de3b2f1b8198c556ef3ede52fd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 13c | 21,137$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 11c | 4,143$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.8 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,959$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 71c | 2,683$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 11c | 2,000$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.92 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…5506backed Over | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 74c | 789$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.14 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 12c | 779.54$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 12c | 738.37$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 71c | 690.6$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.18 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 14c | 612.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Under | 2c | 609.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 11c | 391.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 11c | 309$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 75c | 288.63$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +11.1wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 12c | 257.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 29c | 205$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 70c | 171.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…7832backed Under | 30c | 165.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 12c | 136.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 71c | 121.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 29c | 119.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 30c | 106.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 12c | 91.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 29c | 89.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 25c | 81.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 29c | 66.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5this page
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: EC Bahia O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 5.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: SC Corinthians Paulista 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)EC Bahia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.