South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9812975eb04d91c08bbc4715e0664dc6f0abef7b45e11d66d2af9b6933cb2607
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 4,765$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.92 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 27c | 3,116$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.41 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 24c | 2,032$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.43 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 73c | 1,848$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.43 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 1,573$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.46 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…2ce0backed Over | 36c | 1,397$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 35c | 1,244$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.86 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 72c | 1,150$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.77 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 56c | 758.85$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.53 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 73c | 709.81$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.18 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 24c | 684.67$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.32 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 35c | 501.49$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 74c | 490.69$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.58 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 68c | 408.88$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.84 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 33c | 217.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 36c | 216$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 20c | 180.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 31c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 41c | 146$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 70c | 111.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Under | 70c | 69.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 24c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 68c | 61.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 24c | 59.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 36c | 57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 24c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 38c | 50.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 29c | 43.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…34b7backed Over | 39c | 43.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 42c | 41.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…674cbacked Over | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Under | 71c | 40.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 68c | 39.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 70c | 37.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf657…dad7backed Under | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 72c | 26.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Under | 62c | 23.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 74c | 20.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5this page
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: EC Bahia O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 5.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: SC Corinthians Paulista 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)EC Bahia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.