South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecd6f05aea06b75cbb9aaec01a424be336676480afdb4be24226c6609d94fa86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 1,206$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.23 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 50c | 942.15$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.64 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 872.52$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.09 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 53c | 712.57$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.03 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 29c | 457.52$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.37 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…cb94backed No | 16c | 429.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 49c | 239.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 48c | 203.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 201.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4962…f509backed Yes | 51c | 201.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 79c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 76c | 130.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 53c | 90.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed No | 12c | 89.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 88.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 46c | 67.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 54c | 45.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed No | 43c | 33.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5651backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…b531backed Yes | 55c | 21.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…3733backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f00…5396backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 53c | 18.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: EC Bahia O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 5.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: SC Corinthians Paulista 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)EC Bahia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.