South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1dc654a959999177606ce515a6c3e07251ed18d6e0bee1985291e01376da445
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 6c | 1,267$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 39c | 1,214$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.21 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 1,096$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.85 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 2c | 1,048$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 727.83$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 24c | 552$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.06 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…1e6ebacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 15c | 424.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.52 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 74c | 350.57$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 332.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.57 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 6c | 262.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 42c | 250.32$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 61c | 250$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 43c | 230.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 56c | 220$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Over | 14c | 165.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 72c | 129.46$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 66c | 127.31$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 46c | 118.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 78c | 109$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 71c | 104.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 62c | 103.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 29c | 59.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 46c | 42.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc831…1989backed Over | 61c | 35.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Under | 78c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd1…0604backed Over | 72c | 16.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…84bcbacked Over | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: EC Bahia O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 5.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: SC Corinthians Paulista 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)EC Bahia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.