Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AIK win on 2026-07-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8762cc57548035ef22856ba15560d22105dc6fcb952dd57d4693b077da6911f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 18,566$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.62 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Yes | 37c | 11,805$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,437.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 2,137$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 29c | 1,728$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.59 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 53c | 1,289$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.13 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 33c | 1,222$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.88 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 36c | 948.22$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.02 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 36c | 935.79$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.91 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 32c | 828.15$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.95 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 63c | 793$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 63c | 793$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 793$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed No | 63c | 475$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 66c | 454.35$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.5 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 69c | 389$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.41 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 10c | 358.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 33c | 299.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.39 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 70c | 294.63$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.94 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 266$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 47c | 265.35$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 9c | 202$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 12c | 187.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Yes | 38c | 164.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…1f85backed Yes | 65c | 153.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 34c | 149.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 30c | 149.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 37c | 139.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 9c | 118$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 34c | 117.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 70c | 101.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed No | 73c | 86.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 36c | 80.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 30c | 76.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 29c | 68.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 32c | 62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 38c | 57.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0677…2a28backed Yes | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 31c | 49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 78c | 45.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 37c | 44.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5265…2e50backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 63c | 41.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 63c | 37.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 31c | 36.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 37c | 34.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 63c | 30.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed No | 63c | 23.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed No | 63c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 63c | 21.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…5ea3backed No | 69c | 19.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 63c | 18.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AIK win on 2026-07-18?this page
- Will AIK vs. GAIS end in a draw?No won
- Will GAIS win on 2026-07-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.