Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AIK vs. GAIS end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd55bc44e26b1c965a44669bee3939c05fc49f074c1992778c9115494b82c97e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 6,025$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Yes | 38c | 3,766$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,006$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 62c | 988.5$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.27 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 28c | 858.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.42 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 692.37$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.68 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 4c | 676.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 470.64$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 12c | 426.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 28c | 333.67$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 229.15$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 73c | 217$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 76c | 165$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 28c | 159.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked No | 70c | 142.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 27c | 140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 129.45$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 28c | 105.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 72c | 103.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 71c | 102.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 98.84$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Yes | 28c | 92.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Yes | 27c | 92.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed No | 76c | 58.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…0821backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…22fdbacked Yes | 24c | 58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 28c | 45.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 27c | 43.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 15.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AIK vs. GAIS end in a draw?this page
- Will AIK win on 2026-07-18?Yes won
- Will GAIS win on 2026-07-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.