Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will GAIS win on 2026-07-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cf0d72ceb17030a6ce6b6ec686603f34a0d0f89100bb13433a4362c776217da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 59c | 16,826$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,826.33 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 41c | 4,630$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.96 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 3,824$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Yes | 43c | 3,507$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 2,175$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.24 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 61c | 1,962$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.8 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 1,830$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.84 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 1,731$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.04 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,466$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.51 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.7 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 40c | 955$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.71 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 877$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.11 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 877$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.11 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 39c | 777.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…89bcbacked Yes | 39c | 659.33$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b0…4dffbacked No | 58c | 582$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 41c | 579.26$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 38c | 470.03$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.61 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 43c | 437.21$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes | 36c | 416.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 59c | 405.06$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 393$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.81 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 6c | 349.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 41c | 275.38$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.55 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 60c | 249.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 69c | 232.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 230.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 43c | 197.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…22fdbacked Yes | 11c | 192$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 42c | 120.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 113.19$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 58c | 75.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 61c | 70.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 58c | 68.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 61c | 67.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 58c | 64.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 41c | 58.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3f…b11cbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 42c | 51.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed No | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…70b0backed No | 58c | 34.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 62c | 23.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…32c1backed No | 64c | 20.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GAIS win on 2026-07-18?this page
- Will AIK vs. GAIS end in a draw?No won
- Will AIK win on 2026-07-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.