Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c020cb98ca54a17256e11386bf8f6607245a79c45d9b2661660742bee90f038

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 24, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $372,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $222,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,237 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x97ff…d095backed Yes	1c	33,992$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.81	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	0c	20,000$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.5	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb464…caf8backed Yes	1c	19,492$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	6c	17,315$987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.89	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	10c	10,311$1,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.18	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb5c…3ec6backed Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	5c	7,763$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.36	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8d…13b7backed Yes	12c	7,570$871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870.95	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes	10c	5,946$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.83	63	9.5%6 W · 57 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	2c	5,272$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.67	781	8.7%68 W · 713 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	4,551$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.9	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d1…fe63backed Yes	42c	4,444$1,859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,859.29	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	18c	4,443$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.93	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	9c	4,291$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.98	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	4,279$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.34	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	11c	4,209$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.68	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cde…b42abacked Yes	19c	3,618$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.1	85	8.2%7 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	22c	3,338$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.33	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	2c	3,159$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.4	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	4c	2,458$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.75	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b7e…79e5backed Yes	33c	2,398$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe166…2d8fbacked Yes	46c	2,166$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes	35c	2,000$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.22	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	24cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	7c	1,859$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.3	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	5c	1,648$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.01	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	1c	1,500$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	8c	1,495$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.71	731	15.2%111 W · 620 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	9c	1,442$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.17	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	10c	1,407$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.73	150	7.3%11 W · 139 L	-11.1wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	8c	1,303$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.58	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	22c	1,150$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.38	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefda…8dfbbacked Yes	18c	1,074$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	171	5.3%9 W · 162 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc760…dc54backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	82	11%9 W · 73 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	5c	999.98$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.5	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	25c	981.29$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.58	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	4c	875.58$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.57	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…9480backed Yes	11c	862.69$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.06	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Yes	18c	850$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.5	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b56…80ddbacked Yes	9c	824.64$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.97	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1293…e575backed Yes	13c	800$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74c8…e1aabacked Yes	27c	749.43$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa360…54d1backed Yes	16c	739.7$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.16	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	7c	729.77$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.4	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea41…2312backed Yes	4c	687.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.98	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d8…1cdfbacked Yes	32c	657.57$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.05	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Yes	20c	610$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e55…e157backed Yes	34c	600.44$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.55	75	24%18 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	6c	574.46$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.57	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	21c	558.36$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5be4…435abacked Yes	22c	541.27$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.63	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	66c	537.57$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.58	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4ef…682fbacked Yes	22c	508.52$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.55	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bb1…f1e1backed Yes	20c	501.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ed…9f1dbacked Yes	32c	491.73$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.79	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ce…5839backed Yes	8c	486.19$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.63	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	13c	450$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.46	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x687a…25eabacked Yes	33c	450$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	22c	441.31$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.86	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	19c	437.39$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.3	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea9…a10bbacked Yes	26c	433.3$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.87	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff6a…881cbacked Yes	7c	420.62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1633…190cbacked Yes	14c	411.85$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.3	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	26c	404.05$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e00…ea54backed Yes	45c	400.33$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6de2…c71fbacked Yes	6c	399.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	94	11.7%11 W · 83 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…215dbacked Yes	18c	399.31$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.2	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcbb…9355backed Yes	32c	376.02$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8134…305fbacked Yes	20c	375.6$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f25…0772backed Yes	27c	373.28$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe86c…10f3backed Yes	31c	355.1$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.5	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x676e…eb0cbacked Yes	22c	349.53$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.48	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	18cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05dd…4d45backed Yes	23c	347$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.72	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a1…0b00backed Yes	43c	346.95$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2269…7106backed Yes	29c	346.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4acd…b7a8backed Yes	44c	343.38$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	7c	331$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.75	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b62…ad6cbacked Yes	25c	314.01$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.01	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafbb…7525backed Yes	16c	304.83$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf57f…e5fcbacked Yes	31c	303.02$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed No	79c	300$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.8	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes	19c	300$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbea3…e34fbacked Yes	21c	291.98$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.07	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	9c	285.96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.65	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26db…7abcbacked Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22d7…84e0backed No	74c	270.31$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.31	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.11per pick	16cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdeb9…8669backed Yes	26c	268.72$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ec…7158backed Yes	19c	262.53$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…6bcfbacked Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.25	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	22c	248.01$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.41	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0433…8b4fbacked Yes	42c	244.51$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.96	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef28…2d50backed Yes	9c	244.19$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x824c…6874backed Yes	19c	240$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.6	43	9.3%4 W · 39 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf3d…d571backed Yes	6c	239.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab7e…2a96backed Yes	23c	235.56$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.3	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	25c	228.14$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.92	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	9c	220.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.15	578	11.4%66 W · 512 L	+19.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ae…c6e0backed Yes	20c	220$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.7	52	13.5%7 W · 45 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a84…a46bbacked Yes	31c	213.55$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.91	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66a…a0cbbacked Yes	29c	212.87$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.54	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event