Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4841ed78605b279e0d3faf40c4f7b0ba19e1a2639ca29e15527c744b56817e43

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 24, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $301,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $131,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,203 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x97ff…d095backed Yes	0c	28,515$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.38	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	26,577$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.63	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	2c	20,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	1c	18,584$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.77	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b56…80ddbacked Yes	1c	9,958$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.42	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	7c	8,558$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.33	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	4c	5,473$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.05	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	10c	5,040$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.83	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	2c	4,750$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	4,128$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.53	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x472b…d2f4backed Yes	1c	3,763$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.65	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	3,616$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.26	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes	9c	3,577$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.07	63	9.5%6 W · 57 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…b42abacked Yes	8c	3,500$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.5	85	8.2%7 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d1…fe63backed Yes	26c	3,395$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.7	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	1c	2,846$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.99	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…9480backed Yes	8c	2,737$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	8c	1,600$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.15	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb1…f1e1backed Yes	11c	1,520$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	21c	1,437$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.45	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27ed…9f1dbacked Yes	18c	1,433$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	12c	1,369$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.93	150	7.3%11 W · 139 L	-11.1wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefda…8dfbbacked Yes	16c	1,350$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.68	171	5.3%9 W · 162 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	15c	1,096$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.87	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	15c	899.99$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.12	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	10c	875.42$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.5	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed No	78c	846.99$665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.31	181	63%114 W · 67 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	1c	839.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.29	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…215dbacked Yes	16c	739.46$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.5	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	25c	686$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.41	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbea3…e34fbacked Yes	2c	606.84$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.43	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e55…e157backed Yes	19c	601.84$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.27	75	24%18 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	19c	600$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.75	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05dd…4d45backed Yes	15c	600$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.06	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	20c	522.47$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.44	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x687a…25eabacked Yes	18c	520$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.42	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80fc…42c3backed Yes	2c	490$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3d…d571backed Yes	6c	445.74$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5be4…435abacked Yes	25c	402.42$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e00…ea54backed Yes	20c	400$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.93	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	7c	370$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.04	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x676e…eb0cbacked Yes	22c	350$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.72	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	18cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8134…305fbacked Yes	15c	343.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	19c	301.48$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.99	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	16c	300$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.4	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	15c	295.27$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.85	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcc8…1461backed Yes	9c	283.6$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	17cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26db…7abcbacked Yes	19c	264.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35c6…6d71backed Yes	16c	250.3$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.99	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1633…190cbacked Yes	14c	238.08$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.35	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab7e…2a96backed Yes	20c	236$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.51	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x824c…6874backed Yes	19c	230$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.7	43	9.3%4 W · 39 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x47b0…0237backed Yes	9c	228.87$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	14cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf469…7aa9backed Yes	9c	227.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-52%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes	8c	216$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.11	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	12c	214.39$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3103…ea70backed Yes	19c	209.37$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.55	139	26.6%37 W · 102 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	15c	203.4$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.15	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked Yes	15c	200.24$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.69	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.2	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0850…74c5backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.2	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes	19c	200$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes	13c	196.42$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.77	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	43cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeebf…d3ffbacked Yes	10c	195.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.54	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb933…fb0abacked Yes	16c	171$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.84	89	22.5%20 W · 69 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8593…c931backed Yes	9c	155.35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	130	20%26 W · 104 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeb0…3b23backed Yes	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeef…d4fbbacked Yes	15c	140.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5ec…0fa2backed Yes	15c	133$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92df…fd4ebacked Yes	15c	131.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x471e…b99abacked Yes	26c	130$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.42	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x651f…8e87backed Yes	20c	129.92$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	16c	128.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80c1…1034backed Yes	20c	125.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4f2…36a2backed Yes	23c	123.83$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.17	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd25…e395backed Yes	15c	120$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.19	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-31%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea9…a10bbacked Yes	15c	115$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.19	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb1…6bcfbacked Yes	17c	111$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.39	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	10c	106.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.12	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcddc…63edbacked Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	+301.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd572…9f8abacked Yes	19c	105.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	9cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e37…5343backed Yes	19c	103.54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.22per pick	34cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes	20c	102.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…1b74backed Yes	12c	102.3$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.91	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23e0…adc0backed Yes	15c	101.35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c9…c01dbacked Yes	19c	100.15$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.46	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b3…88edbacked Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5824…dcf0backed Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.94	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b70…a88cbacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.28	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb8e2…3926backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.3	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb8…aa4fbacked Yes	20c	99.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x542f…916abacked Yes	20c	99.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ae9…62fabacked Yes	19c	99.97$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef28…2d50backed Yes	25c	98.04$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e6dcbacked Yes	16c	93.6$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25a6…6c89backed Yes	20c	92$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.03	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x716d…eaf2backed Yes	20c	90$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.88	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ff…7c2fbacked Yes	16c	89.51$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	94	17%16 W · 78 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…5743backed Yes	18c	86.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.27	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccc9…7a15backed Yes	20c	86.29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	113	19.5%22 W · 91 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event