Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Neel/Olmos vs Jiang/Xu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23cb33e96149d409626f96241057d5e80afeb05bb5290ebd8358741c90c374e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jiang/Xuof Neel/Olmos, Jiang/Xu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3193…ed9ebacked Jiang/Xu | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Neel/Olmos | 27c | 9,678$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.24 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…eae9backed Neel/Olmos | 38c | 538.27$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Jiang/Xu | 42c | 498.77$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.45 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jiang/Xu | 55c | 414.38$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.19 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jiang/Xu | 67c | 305.55$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Neel/Olmos | 36c | 280.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Neel/Olmos | 51c | 238.61$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.88 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Neel/Olmos | 24c | 218.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Neel/Olmos | 27c | 213.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Neel/Olmos | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d6…a82cbacked Neel/Olmos | 55c | 130.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Neel/Olmos | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Neel/Olmos | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Neel/Olmos | 48c | 78.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Jiang/Xu | 70c | 66.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c3…7f0fbacked Jiang/Xu | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Jiang/Xu | 44c | 57.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Jiang/Xu | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 278 | 53.2%148 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Neel/Olmos | 58c | 51.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Neel/Olmos | 50c | 50.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Neel/Olmos | 69c | 45.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b8…997bbacked Jiang/Xu | 49c | 42.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x830a…ba19backed Jiang/Xu | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Jiang/Xu | 70c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf517…73efbacked Neel/Olmos | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Jiang/Xu | 51c | 38.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Jiang/Xu | 45c | 36.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bf…ea02backed Neel/Olmos | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Neel/Olmos | 37c | 34.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…a61ebacked Jiang/Xu | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Jiang/Xu | 34c | 29.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…881cbacked Jiang/Xu | 42c | 27.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Neel/Olmos | 52c | 27.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036b…ead4backed Jiang/Xu | 42c | 26.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jiang/Xu | 75c | 25.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…73a5backed Neel/Olmos | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0987…988abacked Neel/Olmos | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4f75backed Neel/Olmos | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Jiang/Xu | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…0ccebacked Jiang/Xu | 55c | 19.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…1557backed Jiang/Xu | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Neel/Olmos | 58c | 18.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Jiang/Xu | 73c | 13.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Neel/Olmos vs Jiang/Xuthis page
- Neel/Olmos vs. Jiang/Xu: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.