Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: S2G Esports vs Mandatory - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64b7f433c375ca1d94e8517269ddc9125bc1e50b5944e6ff66ab25f05a412239
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mandatoryof S2G Esports, Mandatory
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,168 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Mandatory | 58c | 1,615$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.09 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked S2G Esports | 25c | 1,150$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.54 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked S2G Esports | 37c | 1,001$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.41 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked S2G Esports | 49c | 798.29$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.26 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked S2G Esports | 53c | 775.16$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.66 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed S2G Esports | 33c | 619.64$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.59 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed Mandatory | 77c | 507.65$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Mandatory | 80c | 507.65$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mandatory | 49c | 480.88$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.15 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed S2G Esports | 33c | 459.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Mandatory | 61c | 453.78$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.51 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Mandatory | 58c | 360$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Mandatory | 59c | 308.88$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed S2G Esports | 38c | 276$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed S2G Esports | 67c | 224.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Mandatory | 77c | 198.7$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Mandatory | 63c | 163.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Mandatory | 69c | 145.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mandatory | 61c | 98.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed S2G Esports | 41c | 61.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed S2G Esports | 56c | 57.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Mandatory | 48c | 48.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Mandatory | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…881cbacked Mandatory | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked S2G Esports | 41c | 36.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Mandatory | 61c | 33.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed S2G Esports | 37c | 32.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked S2G Esports | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed S2G Esports | 61c | 16.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs Mandatory - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group DMandatory won
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs Mandatory - Map 1 WinnerMandatory won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.