Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: S2G Esports vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cf0b258cb79b741b867125404acda2c614415c3e2aa10362db23fb5264a128c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mandatoryof S2G Esports, Mandatory
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,394 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed S2G Esports | 14c | 3,218$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.01 | 420 | 35%147 W · 273 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8d…6fe9backed Mandatory | 73c | 1,812$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Mandatory | 77c | 1,221$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.46 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked S2G Esports | 24c | 1,048$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.68 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked S2G Esports | 23c | 961.36$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.14 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed S2G Esports | 25c | 679.3$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.64 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…50b0backed S2G Esports | 21c | 505.82$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…2317backed Mandatory | 75c | 446.22$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed S2G Esports | 18c | 430$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed S2G Esports | 12c | 409.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked S2G Esports | 25c | 381.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed S2G Esports | 25c | 369$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe639…6a7abacked Mandatory | 77c | 338.96$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Mandatory | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked S2G Esports | 24c | 244.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked S2G Esports | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Mandatory | 75c | 195.21$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked S2G Esports | 24c | 169.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed S2G Esports | 28c | 162.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked Mandatory | 71c | 152.44$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked S2G Esports | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…d8e7backed S2G Esports | 25c | 121$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e61…6ff3backed S2G Esports | 25c | 118$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e30…f399backed S2G Esports | 24c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed S2G Esports | 16c | 95.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked S2G Esports | 12c | 89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked S2G Esports | 27c | 69.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked S2G Esports | 23c | 68.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 404 | 54.7%221 W · 183 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4d…259bbacked Mandatory | 75c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a61…64fcbacked Mandatory | 76c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…dc4ebacked Mandatory | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…13b1backed S2G Esports | 29c | 43.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed S2G Esports | 25c | 40.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed S2G Esports | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…8ea7backed Mandatory | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf91…ce67backed Mandatory | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mandatory | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…5c65backed Mandatory | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Mandatory | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a2…4133backed Mandatory | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…a9d4backed Mandatory | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…aeb3backed Mandatory | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18c…63dabacked Mandatory | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Dthis page
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs Mandatory - Map 1 WinnerMandatory won
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs Mandatory - Map 2 WinnerMandatory won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.