Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: S2G Esports vs Mandatory - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3ebb1b47c66aa0ce704c37ba9bcd091f702430c6977eb091a342d890378f806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mandatoryof S2G Esports, Mandatory
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,343 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Mandatory | 68c | 2,692$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.55 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Mandatory | 68c | 1,024$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.04 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed S2G Esports | 40c | 757.58$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.25 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked S2G Esports | 32c | 540.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.47 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked S2G Esports | 29c | 536$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.42 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Mandatory | 70c | 413.17$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked S2G Esports | 32c | 410.71$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed S2G Esports | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked S2G Esports | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed S2G Esports | 18c | 221.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Mandatory | 72c | 206.39$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked S2G Esports | 9c | 131.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Mandatory | 69c | 92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed S2G Esports | 20c | 82.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Mandatory | 73c | 67.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Mandatory | 58c | 50.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd6…e668backed Mandatory | 58c | 50.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd191…449dbacked Mandatory | 58c | 50.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…1255backed Mandatory | 58c | 50.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed S2G Esports | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Mandatory | 58c | 47.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Mandatory | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5420…5741backed Mandatory | 78c | 24.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs Mandatory - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group DMandatory won
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs Mandatory - Map 2 WinnerMandatory won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.