TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Fresno State Bulldogs vs. CSUN Matadors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
CSUN Matadorsof Fresno State Bulldogs, CSUN Matadors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x067f…e041backed Fresno State Bulldogs43c9,400$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08030139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked CSUN Matadors54c6,055$3,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,760.391,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fresno State Bulldogs47c3,522$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.075,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked CSUN Matadors54c3,516$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.9412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked CSUN Matadors50c3,250$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.165944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed Fresno State Bulldogs17c2,967$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.481315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-77%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed CSUN Matadors58c2,400$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.1424351.4%125 W · 118 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked CSUN Matadors55c2,171$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.1412853.1%68 W · 60 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fresno State Bulldogs27c1,559$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.551,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed CSUN Matadors62c1,408$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.353,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Fresno State Bulldogs50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Fresno State Bulldogs22c1,006$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.1615939%62 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f74…b40ebacked CSUN Matadors52c924.56$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.315100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Fresno State Bulldogs40c752$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.984,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked CSUN Matadors77c743.76$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.5323158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Fresno State Bulldogs53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3182839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed CSUN Matadors54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.561,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Fresno State Bulldogs49c540.82$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.822,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Fresno State Bulldogs46c522.34$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406428.1%18 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Fresno State Bulldogs57c507.66$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2874146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked CSUN Matadors58c400$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.833438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Fresno State Bulldogs52c381.27$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2617650.6%89 W · 87 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fresno State Bulldogs35c322$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.661,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58a0…d7cabacked Fresno State Bulldogs43c314.77$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Fresno State Bulldogs48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14429444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Fresno State Bulldogs52c230.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016248.1%78 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fresno State Bulldogs23c221.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.94,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed CSUN Matadors56c206.11$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8949043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e7…4dc1backed Fresno State Bulldogs50c200.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe35e…7754backed CSUN Matadors65c187$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.451250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed CSUN Matadors55c182.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1718844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Fresno State Bulldogs50c181.8$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.984147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed CSUN Matadors57c174.43$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2345644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Fresno State Bulldogs29c171$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1839144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb29…358ebacked Fresno State Bulldogs73c164.38$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202556%14 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked CSUN Matadors50c157$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.914841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Fresno State Bulldogs32c153.31$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.442040%8 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d6…ec92backed Fresno State Bulldogs28c153$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+106.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed CSUN Matadors67c149.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.298643%37 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaef1…4058backed Fresno State Bulldogs26c145.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-58.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd7e5…fe31backed Fresno State Bulldogs15c138.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.03954.2%4 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-86%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90dc…5ba6backed Fresno State Bulldogs56c137.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed CSUN Matadors47c129$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.376743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Fresno State Bulldogs40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509639.6%38 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Fresno State Bulldogs40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed CSUN Matadors68c117.19$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.691,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed CSUN Matadors53c99.53$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.655,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf08c…f6c9backed Fresno State Bulldogs52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Fresno State Bulldogs37c93.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2473549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ec…daabbacked Fresno State Bulldogs36c87.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.751957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked CSUN Matadors48c85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.25147.1%24 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed CSUN Matadors49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85764.9%37 W · 20 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fresno State Bulldogs40c77.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.052,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Fresno State Bulldogs24c65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.415442.9%66 W · 88 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed CSUN Matadors49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.69355.9%52 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed CSUN Matadors55c59.61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5319055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked CSUN Matadors49c58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.586253.2%33 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed CSUN Matadors49c56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.567244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed CSUN Matadors53c54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.383151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked CSUN Matadors51c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.485054%27 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc5d…be79backed Fresno State Bulldogs51c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.482958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa754…7948backed CSUN Matadors77c47.42$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed CSUN Matadors49c43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.934259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Fresno State Bulldogs52c43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.512638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed CSUN Matadors51c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.095253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked CSUN Matadors49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.824562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0efe…df51backed Fresno State Bulldogs50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-42.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Fresno State Bulldogs48c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7255657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Fresno State Bulldogs45c37.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.931,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e79…089bbacked Fresno State Bulldogs41c34.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.181118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-54.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Fresno State Bulldogs48c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.972860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf06a…cfdabacked Fresno State Bulldogs53c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.493161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…4028backed Fresno State Bulldogs51c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.324060%24 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed CSUN Matadors49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.325147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16bb…b17abacked CSUN Matadors79c30.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.423100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd43a…f530backed Fresno State Bulldogs49c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.253056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed CSUN Matadors51c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.215851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked CSUN Matadors58c28.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.925450%27 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Fresno State Bulldogs47c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.162,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Fresno State Bulldogs53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.255261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Fresno State Bulldogs40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104318.6%8 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88d0…524cbacked Fresno State Bulldogs51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.752653.8%14 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf447…3fe7backed Fresno State Bulldogs53c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.722748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed Fresno State Bulldogs49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.272441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Fresno State Bulldogs50c21.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.533,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ecd…b2c0backed Fresno State Bulldogs49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.292548%12 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x684b…47edbacked Fresno State Bulldogs49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.293348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x486e…62c7backed Fresno State Bulldogs52c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9255…87a4backed Fresno State Bulldogs51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.