TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Lafayette Leopards vs. Penn Quakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Penn Quakersof Lafayette Leopards, Penn Quakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,958 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Lafayette Leopards14c4,288$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.145,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Lafayette Leopards11c3,223$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.5255657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Lafayette Leopards10c2,550$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2663855.3%21 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+41.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Lafayette Leopards25c1,561$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.2230139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Lafayette Leopards26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.934829.2%14 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Lafayette Leopards20c1,108$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2423158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Lafayette Leopards29c1,025$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.25944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf85…ff54backed Lafayette Leopards12c950$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x94d9…870ebacked Penn Quakers77c906.88$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.881172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Lafayette Leopards28c800$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Lafayette Leopards22c759.91$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7949746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Lafayette Leopards30c726.24$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8913219.7%26 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55f5…01b0backed Lafayette Leopards4c700$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Penn Quakers75c657.34$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.331338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Penn Quakers75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Lafayette Leopards31c420.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.171,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Lafayette Leopards32c414.05$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0332337.2%120 W · 203 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lafayette Leopards12c411.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Penn Quakers70c409.29$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Lafayette Leopards25c401.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.333,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Penn Quakers68c399.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Lafayette Leopards10c393.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.969142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc8…f0bbbacked Lafayette Leopards30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7e…bbdbbacked Lafayette Leopards13c302.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa13b…1a4dbacked Penn Quakers76c249.09$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.271952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Lafayette Leopards33c222$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2614925.5%38 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Penn Quakers67c219.43$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.417145.1%32 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Lafayette Leopards30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Penn Quakers75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5034947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Lafayette Leopards12c162.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.559641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lafayette Leopards9c160.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.335,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Lafayette Leopards23c150.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e5…fe31backed Lafayette Leopards14c139.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.01954.2%4 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-86%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Lafayette Leopards25c136.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.871,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Lafayette Leopards30c136.14$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.831,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lafayette Leopards17c132.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.964,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Penn Quakers73c118$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.867346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb29…358ebacked Penn Quakers78c102$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.442556%14 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Lafayette Leopards11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115058%29 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x344c…8bc4backed Penn Quakers70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde52…9d3abacked Lafayette Leopards30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lafayette Leopards25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Penn Quakers74c99.97$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9917650.6%89 W · 87 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7068…c63bbacked Penn Quakers71c98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Penn Quakers74c97$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.227244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lafayette Leopards29c88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.521,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Penn Quakers75c86.28$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5739144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Penn Quakers73c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x490e…6ea7backed Penn Quakers74c79.25$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.891266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Penn Quakers74c78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.287060%42 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x480a…e3c9backed Lafayette Leopards27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.253663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Penn Quakers72c59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.523154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07a4…be3abacked Lafayette Leopards26c51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.263148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb30…6ffbbacked Lafayette Leopards30c50.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Lafayette Leopards24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1219851.5%102 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…042fbacked Lafayette Leopards27c43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.612445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe9…a400backed Lafayette Leopards26c43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.182650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Penn Quakers77c42.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.541,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Lafayette Leopards27c41.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.154318.6%8 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa175…fd34backed Penn Quakers74c39.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.241258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434a…c03ebacked Lafayette Leopards26c39.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.241250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a83…50d3backed Penn Quakers79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.971872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaccd…f9a5backed Penn Quakers75c36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…1d59backed Penn Quakers73c35.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Penn Quakers73c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.915253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Penn Quakers71c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.573551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Penn Quakers74c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.065364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Penn Quakers71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.74348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1545…8a48backed Penn Quakers73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Penn Quakers75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.672466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61b9…f46abacked Penn Quakers74c26.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.872268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b28…02dbbacked Penn Quakers76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.323577.1%27 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed Penn Quakers75c22.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.673467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Penn Quakers73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.44355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a0…890fbacked Penn Quakers70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Penn Quakers70c18.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.642,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b9…208dbacked Penn Quakers70c16.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.