Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa204965cd76b71f6e6933fa4e18ec02ed34ffc0cf50a0fcd707f6912fe634f94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lafayette Leopardsof Penn Quakers, Lafayette Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lafayette Leopards | 56c | 226.16$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Penn Quakers | 44c | 219.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Lafayette Leopards | 53c | 145$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Lafayette Leopards | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Lafayette Leopards | 52c | 131$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Penn Quakers | 48c | 117$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Lafayette Leopards | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Penn Quakers | 47c | 73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Penn Quakers | 47c | 72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Lafayette Leopards | 52c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Penn Quakers | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Lafayette Leopards | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Lafayette Leopards | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Lafayette Leopards | 57c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Penn Quakers | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Penn Quakers | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Lafayette Leopards | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Penn Quakers | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Penn Quakers | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Penn Quakers | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5)this page
- Lafayette Leopards vs. Penn QuakersPenn Quakers won
- Lafayette Leopards vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 151.5Under won
- Lafayette Leopards vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Penn Quakers (-5.5)Lafayette Leopards won
- Spread: Penn Quakers (-6.5)Lafayette Leopards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.