Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lafayette Leopards vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bdbeb49176b7b5e8a032a00defee0b62006241bb5c427de5c79bc9b1c3b14bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.98 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Under | 55c | 2,095$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 49c | 887.16$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.45 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 54c | 697.42$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.81 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 49c | 402$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.02 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 49c | 326.83$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.68 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 321.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.66 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 48c | 158$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 50c | 154$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 124$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 49c | 123.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Under | 49c | 121.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Over | 53c | 113.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 100.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 52c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Under | 49c | 82.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Over | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 50c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…e03abacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 50.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Over | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb860…fa01backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.8wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lafayette Leopards vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 151.5this page
- Lafayette Leopards vs. Penn QuakersPenn Quakers won
- Lafayette Leopards vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Penn Quakers (-5.5)Lafayette Leopards won
- Spread: Penn Quakers (-6.5)Lafayette Leopards won
- Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5)Lafayette Leopards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.