TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Louisville Cardinals vs. Tennessee Volunteers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tennessee Volunteersof Louisville Cardinals, Tennessee Volunteers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$274,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$356,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,351 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa9e6…025bbacked Tennessee Volunteers59c75,000$44,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,750666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Louisville Cardinals41c53,124$21,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,780.6569142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tennessee Volunteers61c20,800$12,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,196.725,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Tennessee Volunteers60c19,388$11,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,706.71,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Louisville Cardinals43c19,174$8,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,160.692,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Louisville Cardinals40c18,862$7,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,563.0710045%45 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Louisville Cardinals40c15,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Louisville Cardinals44c11,668$5,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,101.911,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Louisville Cardinals41c7,048$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.071060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Louisville Cardinals38c6,198$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.0710745.8%49 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Tennessee Volunteers57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15022645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Louisville Cardinals38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9830139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Tennessee Volunteers56c4,011$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.2112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Louisville Cardinals34c2,994$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.3211439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Tennessee Volunteers57c2,932$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.974641.3%19 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Louisville Cardinals17c2,749$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.085152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Tennessee Volunteers59c2,518$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.2855657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Tennessee Volunteers74c2,326$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.187758.4%45 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Tennessee Volunteers56c2,300$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01211850%59 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3e…949bbacked Tennessee Volunteers52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisville Cardinals41c1,948$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.011,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Louisville Cardinals44c1,705$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75025130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Louisville Cardinals2c1,515$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.31,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Tennessee Volunteers56c1,442$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.472259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Tennessee Volunteers57c1,382$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.853652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tennessee Volunteers69c1,300$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.155,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Tennessee Volunteers56c871.52$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.731,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Tennessee Volunteers61c746.26$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.979641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed Louisville Cardinals43c652$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Tennessee Volunteers73c626.18$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.011,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Louisville Cardinals44c603$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.322,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Louisville Cardinals45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Tennessee Volunteers57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21525043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Louisville Cardinals40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Louisville Cardinals20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11b5…0d05backed Louisville Cardinals23c499.97$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Tennessee Volunteers52c485.83$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.8121050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Tennessee Volunteers78c473.9$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2625254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Tennessee Volunteers54c450.45$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.013158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Tennessee Volunteers80c440$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8813343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Tennessee Volunteers53c434.18$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0616341.7%68 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…1ed3backed Tennessee Volunteers57c410$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.31266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Tennessee Volunteers75c404.29$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.942,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Louisville Cardinals43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17229444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Tennessee Volunteers63c399.98$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9957448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Tennessee Volunteers53c379$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.13650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Tennessee Volunteers61c365.65$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.092556%14 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Tennessee Volunteers56c350$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1542657.7%15 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec7…329bbacked Louisville Cardinals46c349.99$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc120…7935backed Louisville Cardinals25c313.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5af4…2c29backed Louisville Cardinals26c301.67$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.41944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Louisville Cardinals23c286.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.721,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Louisville Cardinals25c281.81$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.561,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Louisville Cardinals43c280$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.273549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Tennessee Volunteers58c276$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9265825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tennessee Volunteers78c271.16$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.661,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tennessee Volunteers69c269.43$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.843,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Tennessee Volunteers57c249.97$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4934947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Louisville Cardinals40c248$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.159151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Louisville Cardinals16c242$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.441631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1706…f054backed Louisville Cardinals48c241.2$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Tennessee Volunteers57c239$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.775158.8%30 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x308a…5d3abacked Tennessee Volunteers52c238.66$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb29…358ebacked Tennessee Volunteers72c237.5$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.52556%14 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b23…39fdbacked Tennessee Volunteers58c229.87$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.872642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Tennessee Volunteers54c222$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.46546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tennessee Volunteers70c219.32$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.864,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…4322backed Tennessee Volunteers77c209.09$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.09887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick74cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Tennessee Volunteers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8610939.4%43 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Tennessee Volunteers61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf2…24d7backed Louisville Cardinals25c193.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.83429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Tennessee Volunteers53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.956544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Tennessee Volunteers55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8250546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Louisville Cardinals45c170.98$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.942,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Tennessee Volunteers77c124.96$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.246373%46 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Tennessee Volunteers68c121.89$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6110037%37 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a74…c3e4backed Louisville Cardinals42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Tennessee Volunteers57c118$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.127349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Tennessee Volunteers57c116.8$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4349043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Louisville Cardinals20c106.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214318.6%8 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Tennessee Volunteers59c106.5$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.121,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e3…b3e8backed Tennessee Volunteers57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Louisville Cardinals43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4325438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Louisville Cardinals43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Louisville Cardinals41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea8…4b4dbacked Tennessee Volunteers52c96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a52…9ad6backed Tennessee Volunteers63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.243663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Tennessee Volunteers52c94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.128050%40 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Tennessee Volunteers59c91$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.314537.8%17 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Tennessee Volunteers52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.25541.8%23 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Tennessee Volunteers56c82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.088345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Louisville Cardinals44c81$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.664264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Tennessee Volunteers59c80$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.85942.4%25 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f78…d7c1backed Louisville Cardinals26c77.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked Tennessee Volunteers78c70.47$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.471656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Tennessee Volunteers57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.187452.7%39 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Tennessee Volunteers52c68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.647060%42 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Tennessee Volunteers53c66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.026451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x263c…3ef9backed Tennessee Volunteers79c63.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.65742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Tennessee Volunteers52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.88043.8%35 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.