Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
LIU Sharks vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb9a6ed2de9394683a498ad9bda7d8aee4cc9d2a15fb76cb7569dadc2b358ebb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mississippi State Bulldogsof LIU Sharks, Mississippi State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed LIU Sharks | 7c | 3,023$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.59 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 76c | 2,841$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.03 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed LIU Sharks | 17c | 2,130$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.84 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed LIU Sharks | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed LIU Sharks | 44c | 1,532$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LIU Sharks | 27c | 1,220$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked LIU Sharks | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed LIU Sharks | 10c | 926$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 76c | 818.63$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.59 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…3670backed LIU Sharks | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed LIU Sharks | 26c | 547.21$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed LIU Sharks | 5c | 507.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed LIU Sharks | 19c | 416.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked LIU Sharks | 6c | 399.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed LIU Sharks | 11c | 362.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb9…65bfbacked LIU Sharks | 7c | 327.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 77c | 250.65$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked LIU Sharks | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed LIU Sharks | 14c | 235.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…c94dbacked LIU Sharks | 13c | 229.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed LIU Sharks | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked LIU Sharks | 20c | 218.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed LIU Sharks | 35c | 200.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked LIU Sharks | 45c | 191.61$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked LIU Sharks | 6c | 178.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked LIU Sharks | 7c | 175$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 70c | 171.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed LIU Sharks | 10c | 146.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed LIU Sharks | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked LIU Sharks | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 76c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed LIU Sharks | 19c | 60.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…4f13backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 67c | 60.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.