Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Dayton Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80a0f12a3a27ec72e0ecc9b5d402b9de0d840853a190134070c231be5e80a670
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dayton Flyersof Georgetown Hoyas, Dayton Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Dayton Flyers | 71c | 4,338$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.21 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 16c | 2,551$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.07 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…57b3backed Georgetown Hoyas | 50c | 2,159$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Georgetown Hoyas | 24c | 1,936$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.69 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Georgetown Hoyas | 49c | 1,557$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Georgetown Hoyas | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dayton Flyers | 58c | 1,367$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dayton Flyers | 49c | 1,362$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.86 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Georgetown Hoyas | 50c | 1,218$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.59 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dayton Flyers | 50c | 1,183$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Dayton Flyers | 60c | 1,160$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.96 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 51c | 1,125$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.75 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dayton Flyers | 51c | 925.72$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.6 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Georgetown Hoyas | 50c | 920$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.93 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dayton Flyers | 79c | 896.3$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Georgetown Hoyas | 11c | 775.21$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 21c | 500$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Dayton Flyers | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Georgetown Hoyas | 25c | 380$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Georgetown Hoyas | 32c | 379.15$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Georgetown Hoyas | 30c | 366.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 50c | 300.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Dayton Flyers | 51c | 276.73$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…10c5backed Dayton Flyers | 79c | 246.18$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Georgetown Hoyas | 51c | 235.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Georgetown Hoyas | 42c | 233.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Dayton Flyers | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 49c | 208.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Dayton Flyers | 42c | 208.2$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Dayton Flyers | 78c | 201.3$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…bd63backed Dayton Flyers | 72c | 194.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Dayton Flyers | 52c | 172.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…01f2backed Georgetown Hoyas | 25c | 162.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Georgetown Hoyas | 38c | 154.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Dayton Flyers | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Georgetown Hoyas | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Georgetown Hoyas | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 19c | 109.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Dayton Flyers | 53c | 94.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Dayton Flyers | 53c | 92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked Dayton Flyers | 79c | 72.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Dayton Flyers | 51c | 65.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Dayton Flyers | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 33c | 52.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…cc10backed Dayton Flyers | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Dayton Flyers | 68c | 48.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Georgetown Hoyas | 41c | 45.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7048backed Dayton Flyers | 56c | 36.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…eb14backed Georgetown Hoyas | 33c | 36.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dayton Flyers | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e58…3b81backed Georgetown Hoyas | 34c | 32.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Dayton Flyers | 80c | 30.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9452…b685backed Dayton Flyers | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Dayton Flyers | 52c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…5d00backed Dayton Flyers | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…41d8backed Dayton Flyers | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9197…ba29backed Dayton Flyers | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgetown Hoyas vs. Dayton Flyersthis page
- Spread: Georgetown Hoyas (-1.5)Dayton Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.