Lol · resolved market
LoL: Oh My God vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38c50142151ceb470ac2e79ee89b9a51014724ba505d34eb23dc24f183d3810f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof Oh My God, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Oh My God | 1c | 7,362$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 4,861$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,798.52 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oh My God | 69c | 3,093$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.61 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 2,524$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.6 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 1,945$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.24 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Oh My God | 75c | 1,750$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.12 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa229…576ebacked Oh My God | 72c | 1,516$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Oh My God | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…2b59backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 1,346$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.91 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 1,003$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.48 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Oh My God | 74c | 907.51$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…b76bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 900$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +543.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 872.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.21 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Oh My God | 24c | 835.03$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.82 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 834$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.8 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 800$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…c753backed Oh My God | 42c | 755.97$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…8062backed Oh My God | 71c | 650$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Oh My God | 73c | 636.99$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 428 | 40.2%172 W · 256 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…2716backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 78c | 412.82$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Oh My God | 51c | 316.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.04 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…8a09backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 312.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.37 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Oh My God | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 269.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.46 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 253.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.88 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Oh My God | 22c | 246.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 243$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.62 | 239 | 15.9%38 W · 201 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…b402backed Oh My God | 72c | 221.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Oh My God | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -13.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 166.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked Oh My God | 59c | 158.41$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 149.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Oh My God | 68c | 148.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Oh My God | 50c | 135.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Oh My God | 68c | 100.95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…99cebacked Oh My God | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Oh My God | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked Oh My God | 49c | 78.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…8caebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 77c | 69.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 68.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 237 | 42.2%100 W · 137 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…f2ecbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 105 | 61%64 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Oh My God | 78c | 59.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Oh My God | 50c | 56.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…8f4abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 55.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 53.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +20.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…a94bbacked Oh My God | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…22aabacked Oh My God | 64c | 43.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed5…339ebacked Oh My God | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked Oh My God | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe205…9b1dbacked Oh My God | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Oh My God | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | -20.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Oh My God | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Oh My God vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Oh My God vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3)Oh My God won
- LoL: Oh My God vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerOh My God won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.