CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-GANK Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6466a418a6016a768a80b308b4cf0aa6fb70d327167389e0056e516d673faab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-GANK Esportsof ex-GANK Esports, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked ex-GANK Esports | 74c | 20,206$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,205.84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Misa Esports | 0c | 15,484$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Misa Esports | 26c | 13,801$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584.73 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Misa Esports | 26c | 6,611$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.89 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…c10dbacked Misa Esports | 4c | 2,642$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Misa Esports | 29c | 905.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…0006backed Misa Esports | 9c | 565.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed ex-GANK Esports | 58c | 369.57$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.22 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked ex-GANK Esports | 79c | 264.56$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed ex-GANK Esports | 72c | 245.78$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Misa Esports | 31c | 185.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…00f8backed ex-GANK Esports | 77c | 160$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6489…71ebbacked Misa Esports | 28c | 67.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-GANK Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-GANK Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3)ex-GANK Esports won
- Counter-Strike: ex-GANK Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerex-GANK Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.