TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Northwestern Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ohio State Buckeyesof Ohio State Buckeyes, Northwestern Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,117
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,117 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed Ohio State Buckeyes65c8,074$5,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,836.7511662.1%72 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Ohio State Buckeyes27c5,594$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,094.272737%10 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Northwestern Wildcats50c4,967$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.83644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern Wildcats44c4,840$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.975,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde5d…f58bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes41c4,635$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,735.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Northwestern Wildcats35c4,327$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.4590645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Northwestern Wildcats7c3,322$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.462040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Northwestern Wildcats60c2,754$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.141,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes47c1,793$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.4412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Ohio State Buckeyes51c1,527$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.172,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Ohio State Buckeyes45c1,399$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.5255657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Northwestern Wildcats56c1,200$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67232337.2%120 W · 203 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes49c1,009$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.831,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Ohio State Buckeyes51c924$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.7633438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Northwestern Wildcats54c909.26$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.723158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northwestern Wildcats35c865$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.751,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Northwestern Wildcats61c735.39$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.611,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Northwestern Wildcats58c665$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.2516053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Northwestern Wildcats74c551.64$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.142,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Northwestern Wildcats55c510.95$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.0916341.7%68 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Ohio State Buckeyes76c496.34$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.633,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5204…1ca0backed Northwestern Wildcats63c463.49$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb29…358ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes71c408.45$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.452556%14 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes50c400.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.31952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Northwestern Wildcats53c360.75$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.263,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Ohio State Buckeyes42c320$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.650546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Ohio State Buckeyes42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17429444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Northwestern Wildcats27c296.19$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.295,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Northwestern Wildcats57c293$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0615442.9%66 W · 88 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Northwestern Wildcats69c272.37$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9410041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Northwestern Wildcats52c211.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.215939%62 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Northwestern Wildcats61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Northwestern Wildcats35c199.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5877142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Northwestern Wildcats57c141$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3711850%59 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Ohio State Buckeyes73c90$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7173549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Northwestern Wildcats48c59.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.425949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Northwestern Wildcats32c57.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.624,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Northwestern Wildcats39c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.31855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.513343.6%58 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Northwestern Wildcats52c41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.512,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Northwestern Wildcats54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.911,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Ohio State Buckeyes40c32.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.584742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Northwestern Wildcats65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Ohio State Buckeyes49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4535050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ohio State Buckeyes39c29.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.124,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Northwestern Wildcats44c28.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5719055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3304…7048backed Ohio State Buckeyes71c23.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.681662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.