College Football · resolved market
Arizona vs. Arizona State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8072542b4d1a312932fe8a7400fae055d0a130be4562fa419a7457ac34c250d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizonaof Arizona, Arizona State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $456,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $461,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Arizona State | 47c | 115,800$54,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,409.09 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Arizona State | 47c | 55,000$25,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,849.97 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Arizona | 53c | 37,331$19,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,505.58 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Arizona | 53c | 34,000$18,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,980 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Arizona | 53c | 28,439$15,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,366.18 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Arizona | 52c | 25,223$13,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,004.78 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arizona | 52c | 20,008$10,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,505.33 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Arizona State | 47c | 15,957$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Arizona State | 50c | 15,948$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arizona State | 20c | 12,920$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.9 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona State | 40c | 12,067$4,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,861.24 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Arizona State | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Arizona | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Arizona | 53c | 9,863$5,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,635.67 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Arizona State | 55c | 8,825$4,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892.68 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arizona | 42c | 8,251$3,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,798.6 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Arizona | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arizona State | 57c | 7,960$4,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,518.74 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arizona | 53c | 6,121$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.24 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Arizona | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Arizona | 53c | 5,777$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.19 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Arizona | 63c | 5,292$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.98 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Arizona State | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona State | 41c | 4,447$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.33 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Arizona | 53c | 4,444$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Arizona | 46c | 4,276$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.75 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona | 53c | 4,255$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Arizona State | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…dc0cbacked Arizona | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Arizona State | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…0acabacked Arizona State | 47c | 3,999$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Arizona State | 40c | 3,969$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…3defbacked Arizona State | 35c | 3,200$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Arizona | 43c | 3,160$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +10.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Arizona State | 48c | 3,103$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Arizona | 51c | 3,020$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.35 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Arizona | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona State | 15c | 2,542$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.77 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Arizona State | 46c | 2,502$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.75 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona | 58c | 2,264$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.82 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arizona | 74c | 2,226$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.04 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Arizona | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Arizona | 70c | 2,000$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Arizona State | 1c | 1,998$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Arizona | 61c | 1,809$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.67 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Arizona | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.99 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed Arizona | 54c | 1,750$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Arizona | 53c | 1,750$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.5 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Arizona | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Arizona | 52c | 1,472$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.52 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Arizona | 41c | 1,130$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.53 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona | 62c | 1,117$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.91 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Arizona | 53c | 1,101$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.39 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…651fbacked Arizona | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona State | 47c | 1,075$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.29 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Arizona State | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Arizona | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Arizona | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…d89cbacked Arizona State | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Arizona | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Arizona | 53c | 999.94$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.97 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Arizona State | 40c | 968.71$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arizona | 74c | 890$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.89 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Arizona State | 25c | 856.97$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.11 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Arizona | 53c | 774.99$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Arizona | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Arizona | 78c | 729.98$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.51 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Arizona | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Arizona State | 47c | 655.76$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.21 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Arizona | 53c | 645.28$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.28 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Arizona State | 48c | 629.7$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.26 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Arizona | 43c | 577.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.83 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Arizona | 54c | 555$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed Arizona State | 47c | 506.52$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Arizona State | 37c | 504.35$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.61 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Arizona | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Arizona | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Arizona | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Arizona | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Arizona | 46c | 466.41$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Arizona | 32c | 446.77$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.27 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Arizona | 53c | 425$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.75 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…6d37backed Arizona | 77c | 416.39$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Arizona | 34c | 376.26$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.57 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Arizona | 52c | 375$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Arizona | 55c | 363.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.91 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Arizona State | 48c | 359$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.32 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Arizona State | 47c | 358.62$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.82 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…17c1backed Arizona State | 31c | 320.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Arizona | 55c | 302.57$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Arizona State | 47c | 300.4$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.19 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Arizona State | 38c | 300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Arizona | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Arizona State | 45c | 300$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Arizona State | 54c | 295.39$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.51 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…579fbacked Arizona | 53c | 284$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x915d…0d5abacked Arizona State | 48c | 281$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0116…57b2backed Arizona | 53c | 262$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…3449backed Arizona State | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f9…755ebacked Arizona | 53c | 256$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona vs. Arizona Statethis page
- Arizona vs. Arizona State: 1H MoneylineArizona State won
- Arizona vs. Arizona State: O/U 47.5Under won
- Arizona vs. Arizona State: O/U 48.5Under won
- O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona (-1.5)Arizona won
- Spread: Arizona (-2.5)Arizona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.